Pennsylvania Democratic primary, 2016

April 26, 2016 (2016-04-26)



Candidate	Hillary Clinton	Bernie Sanders
Home state	New York	Vermont
Delegate count	106	83
Popular vote	935,107	731,881
Percentage	55.61%	43.53%

Election results by county.

Hillary Clinton

Bernie Sanders

The 2016 Pennsylvania Democratic primary were held on April 26 in the U.S. state of Pennsylvania as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

The Democratic Party's primaries in Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland and Rhode Island were held the same day, as were Republican primaries in the same five states, including their own Pennsylvania primary.

Opinion polling

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Official Primary results	April 26, 2016	Hillary Clinton 55.6%	Bernie Sanders 43.5%		Other 0.9%
FOX 29/Opinion Savvy^[1] Margin of error: ± 3.2% Sample size: 942	April 24, 2016	Hillary Clinton 52%	Bernie Sanders 41%		Others / Undecided 7%
CPEC LLC^[2] Margin of error: ± 2.3% Sample size: 665	April 22–24, 2016	Hillary Clinton 63%	Bernie Sanders 37%
Public Policy Polling^[3] Margin of error: ± 3.6% Sample size: 728	April 22–24, 2016	Hillary Clinton 51%	Bernie Sanders 41%		Others / Undecided 9%
American Research Group^[4] Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 400	April 21-24, 2016	Hillary Clinton 58%	Bernie Sanders 38%		Others / Undecided 4%
Harper Polling^[5] Margin of error: ± 3.9% Sample size: 641	April 21-23, 2016	Hillary Clinton 61%	Bernie Sanders 33%		Others / Undecided 6%
CBS/YouGov^[6] Margin of error: ± 6.7% Sample size: 831	April 20-22, 2016	Hillary Clinton 51%	Bernie Sanders 43%		Others / Undecided 6%
NBC/WSJ/Marist^[7] Margin of error: ± 1.9% Sample size: 734	April 18-20, 2016	Hillary Clinton 55%	Bernie Sanders 40%		Others / Undecided 5%
Monmouth^[8] Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample size: 302	April 17-19, 2016	Hillary Clinton 52%	Bernie Sanders 39%		Others / Undecided 9%
Franklin & Marshall College^[9] Margin of error: ± 5.3% Sample size: 510	April 11-18, 2016	Hillary Clinton 58%	Bernie Sanders 31%		Others / Undecided 11%
FOX News^[10] Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 805	April 4-7, 2016	Hillary Clinton 49%	Bernie Sanders 38%		Others / Undecided 13%
Quinnipiac^[11] Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 514	March 30-April 4, 2016	Hillary Clinton 50%	Bernie Sanders 44%		Others / Undecided 6%
Harper^[12] Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 603	April 2-3, 2016	Hillary Clinton 55%	Bernie Sanders 33%		Others / Undecided 12%
Franklin & Marshall^[13] Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 408	March 14-20, 2016	Hillary Clinton 53%	Bernie Sanders 28%		Others / Undecided 19%
Harper^[14] Margin of error: ± 5.3% Sample size: 347	March 1-2, 2016	Hillary Clinton 57%	Bernie Sanders 27%		Others / Undecided 16%
Franklin & Marshall College^[15] Margin of error: ± 3.1% Sample size: 486	February 13–21, 2016	Hillary Clinton 48%	Bernie Sanders 27%		Others / Undecided 25%
Robert Morris University^[16] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 511	February 11–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton 48%	Bernie Sanders 41%		Others / Undecided 11%
Harper^[17] Margin of error: ± 3.8% Sample size: 640	January 22–23, 2016	Hillary Clinton 55%	Bernie Sanders 28%	Martin O'Malley 4%	Undecided 13%
Franklin & Marshall^[18] Margin of error: ± 3.6% Sample size: 361	January 18–23, 2016	Hillary Clinton 46%	Bernie Sanders 29%	Martin O'Malley 2%	Other 7%, Undecided 16%

Polls in 2015

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Franklin & Marshall^[19] Margin of error: ± 3.9% Sample size: 303	October 19–25, 2015	Hillary Clinton 52%	Bernie Sanders 18%	Martin O'Malley 0%	Other 12%, Undecided 18%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 416	October 8–11, 2015	Hillary Clinton 40%	Bernie Sanders 22%	Joe Biden 20%	Lincoln Chafee 3%, Martin O'Malley 2%, Lawrence Lessig 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Not Sure 12%
Quinnipiac University^[20] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 462	August 7–18, 2015	Hillary Clinton 45%	Bernie Sanders 19%	Joe Biden 17%	Jim Webb 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Other 2%, Wouldn't vote 3%, Undecided 12%
Quinnipiac University^[21] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 402	June 4–15, 2015	Hillary Clinton 53%	Joe Biden 15%	Bernie Sanders 10%	Jim Webb 2%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 4%, Undecided 15%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 385	May 21–24, 2015	Hillary Clinton 63%	Bernie Sanders 14%	Martin O'Malley 6%	Lincoln Chafee 3%, Jim Webb 3%, Not sure 12%
Quinnipiac University Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 415	March 17–28, 2015	Hillary Clinton 48%	Elizabeth Warren 15%	Joe Biden 13%	Martin O'Malley 1%, Bernie Sanders 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Other 2%, Wouldn't vote 4%, Undecided 15%
	March 17–28, 2015	Joe Biden 34%	Elizabeth Warren 27%	Martin O'Malley 4%	Bernie Sanders 2%, Jim Webb 1%, Other 3%, Wouldn't vote 5%, Undecided 25%
Quinnipiac University Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 392	January 22 – February 1, 2015	Hillary Clinton 54%	Elizabeth Warren 12%	Joe Biden 10%	Martin O'Malley 2%, Bernie Sanders 2%, Jim Webb 1%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 4%, Undecided 15%
	January 22 – February 1, 2015	Joe Biden 34%	Elizabeth Warren 21%	Martin O'Malley 5%	Jim Webb 4%, Bernie Sanders 3%, Other 2%, Wouldn't vote 5%, Undecided 26%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 494	January 15–18, 2015	Hillary Clinton 58%	Joe Biden 13%	Elizabeth Warren 11%	Bernie Sanders 5%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Someone else/Undecided 11%

Polls in 2014

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 382	May 30 – June 1, 2014	Hillary Clinton 65%	Joe Biden 9%	Andrew Cuomo 5%	Elizabeth Warren 5%, Cory Booker 4%, Kirsten Gillibrand 1%, Brian Schweitzer 1%, Mark Warner 1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Someone else/Not sure 10%
Franklin & Marshall College Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 524	March 25–31, 2014	Hillary Clinton 55%	Joe Biden 5%	Elizabeth Warren 4%	Andrew Cuomo 2%, Howard Dean 0%, Other 5%, Undecided 29%
Franklin & Marshall College Margin of error: ± 4.2% Sample size: 548	February 18–23, 2014	Hillary Clinton 58%	Elizabeth Warren 7%	Joe Biden 6%	Andrew Cuomo 2%, Howard Dean 1%, Other 3%, Undecided 23%

Polls in 2013

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 436	November 22–25, 2013	Hillary Clinton 61%	Joe Biden 13%	Elizabeth Warren 11%	Andrew Cuomo 3%, Cory Booker 2%, Kirsten Gillibrand 1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Brian Schweitzer 0%, Mark Warner 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 9%

Results

Pennsylvania Democratic primary, April 26, 2016
Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
Candidate	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Hillary Clinton	935,107	55.61%	106	20	126
Bernie Sanders	731,881	43.53%	83	0	83
Rocky De La Fuente	14,439	0.86%	0	0	0
Total	1,681,427	100%	189	20	209
Source: The Green Papers, Pennsylvania State Elections Official Results

Results By County

County ^[22]	Clinton	Votes	Sanders	Votes
Adams	48.1%	3,863	51.0%	4,101
Allegheny	55.1%	123,715	44.1%	99,078
Armstrong	48.3%	2,992	49.7%	3,073
Beavers	56.9%	13,531	41.5%	9,873
Bedford	48.9%	1,388	48.9%	1,387
Berks	48.4%	21,063	50.7%	22,078
Blair	46.9%	3,965	51.5%	4,360
Bradford	48.9%	1,808	46.7%	1,839
Bucks	55.9%	45,917	43.1%	36,173
Butler	52.1%	8,790	46.4%	7,833
Cambria	47.2%	8,507	50.0%	9,024
Cameron	41.9%	186	54.1%	240
Carbon	48.7%	3,384	49.8%	3,460
Centre	44.7%	8,458	54.6%	10,331
Chester	55.6%	33,082	44.0%	26,193
Clarion	49.3%	1,529	48.8%	1,511
Clearfield	47.3%	3,194	50.6%	3,414
Clinton	48.6%	1,704	49.6%	1,739
Columbia	40.5%	2,504	58.2%	3,601
Crawaford	48.8%	3,707	49.8%	3,789
Cumberland	51.5%	12,421	47.8%	11,513
Dauphin	56.8%	18,474	42.4%	13,787
Delaware	59.7%	46,252	39.8%	30,824
Elk	45.5%	1,601	52.5%	1,846
Erie	52.2%	20,395	47.0%	18,362
Fayette	57.7%	9,195	40.5%	6,460
Forest	52.1%	251	45.9%	221
Franklin	51.7%	4,707	47.0%	4,282
Fulton	48.9%	366	48.7%	365
Greene	52.6%	2,268	44.7%	1,927
Huntingdon	43.3%	1,304	55.3%	1,666
Indiana	50.3%	4,049	47.7%	3,839
Jefferson	43.9%	1,249	53.0%	1,507
Juniata	45.6%	664	51.8%	754
Lackawanna	56.5%	23,020	42.5%	17,308
Lancaster	48.0%	19,840	51.6%	21,321
Jefferson	58.6%	5,845	39.9%	3,981
Lebanon	49.9%	4,669	49.1%	4,599
Lehigh	52.4%	20,430	47.0%	18,338
Luzerne	51.9%	20,542	46.9%	18,543
Lycoming	43.9%	3,808	54.6%	4,730
McKean	46.2%	1,053	52.2%	1,190
Mercer	57.0%	6,530	41.4%	4,739
Miflin	48.3%	1,201	49.9%	1,242
Monroe	53.3%	8,169	45.9%	7,042
Montgomery	59.0%	75,628	40.7%	52,132
Montour	47.9%	846	50.3%	890
Northampton	51.2%	18,104	47.9%	16,940
Northumberland	48.9%	3,582	49.6%	3,632
Perry	42.6%	1,329	56.2%	1,752
Philadelphia	62.6%	218,959	37.0%	129,353
Pike	51.2%	2,009	48.3%	1,894
Potter	40.9%	402	57.0%	560
Schuylkill	51.3%	6,534	47.4%	6,040
Snyder	50.4%	1,125	48.4%	1,081
Somerset	48.2%	3,114	49.6%	3,206
Sullivan	50.2%	312	47.6%	296
Susquehanna	50.4%	1,680	48.3%	1,610
Tioga	43.2%	1,055	55.5%	1,354
Union	50.5%	1,626	49.0%	1,579
Venango	48.1%	2,020	49.7%	2,087
Warren	51.7%	1,836	46.9%	1,665
Washington	57.4%	15,872	40.8%	11,262
Wayne	47.4%	1,859	51.7%	2,026
Westmoreland	54.3%	25,009	44.1%	20,286
Wyoming	50.7%	18,459	48.2%	17,544
York	50.7%	18,459	48.2%	17,544
Total	55.6%	935,107	43.5%	731,881

Analysis

Clinton won a large victory over runner-up Bernie Sanders in Pennsylvania, replicating her 2008 performance against Barack Obama in the Keystone state. According to exit polls, Clinton won the white vote 51-47 (68% of the electorate), won the African American vote 70-30 (19% of the electorate), and won among women 60-39 (she lost men 50-49 to Sanders). While Sanders won among younger voters 63-37, Clinton won voters over the age of 45 66-33. Clinton swept all income and educational attainment levels except for whites without college degrees, whom Sanders won 50-49.

Clinton swept all political ideologies in the primary. She won Democrats 62-38 but lost self-identified Independents to Sanders 72-26.

Clinton also won among unions 56-43, a very important demographic in a big manufacturing state like Pennsylvania.

Clinton won large victories in all of Pennsylvania's major cities: she won in Philadelphia 63-37, the affluent Philadelphia suburbs 58-42, and also carried the cities of Pittsburgh and Erie. She won in Northeast Pennsylvania 51-48, and in Western Pennsylvania 54-45. Sanders, for his part, performed strongly in the rural parts of the state, winning rural voters 50-48 and carrying Central Pennsylvania 50-49.^[23] Sanders swept many of the more remote and conservative counties of the state, including parts of Amish country such as Lancaster County.

Of her victory in the Keystone State, New York Times analyst Alan Rappeport commented, "Lots of Philadelphia history and imagery coming from Clinton now. It's almost as if she has her convention speech ready."^[24]

References

↑ "Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential Primary Poll 4/25/16" (PDF). Opinion Savvy. April 25, 2016. Retrieved April 25, 2016.
↑ "Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential Primary Poll" (PDF). CPEC LLC. April 26, 2016. Retrieved April 26, 2016.
↑ "Clinton, Sanders close in CT/PA/RI; Trump Headed for Big Wins" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. April 25, 2016. Retrieved April 25, 2016.
↑ "2016 Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential Primary - Clinton 58%, Sanders 38% (ARG 4/21-4/24)". American Research Group. April 26, 2016. Retrieved April 26, 2016.
↑ "Pennsylvania Democratic Primary Poll". Harper Polling. April 26, 2016. Retrieved April 26, 2016.
↑ "Poll: Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton lead in Pennsylvania, Indiana". Retrieved 2016-04-24.
↑ "Trump and Clinton Hold Strong Leads in Pennsylvania, New Poll Shows". Retrieved 2016-04-24.
↑ "PENNSYLVANIA: CLINTON LEADS SANDERS BY 13" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-04-20.
↑ "April 2016 Franklin & Marshall College Poll" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-04-21.
↑ "Fox News Poll: Trump holds huge lead in Pennsylvania, Clinton up over Sanders". Retrieved 2016-04-10.
↑ "Pennsylvania Quinnipiac University Poll March 30-April 4, 2016" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-04-06.
↑ "Pennsylvania Democratic Primary Poll April 2-3, 2016". Retrieved 2016-04-05.
↑ "March 2016 Franklin & Marshall College Poll" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-03-24.
↑ "PENNSYLVANIA STATEWIDE POLL REPUBLICAN AND DEMOCRATIC PRIMARIES".
↑ "Franklin & Marshall February 13–21, 2016" (PDF).
↑ "2016 Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential Primary – Clinton 48%, Sanders 41% (Robert Morris University 2/11-2/16)".
↑ Field, Nick. "Harper Poll: Clinton 55% Sanders 28%". Politics PA. Retrieved 5 February 2016.
↑ "January 2016 Franklin & Marshall College Poll" (PDF). Franklin & Martin. 28 January 2016. Retrieved 5 February 2016.
↑ "Franklin and Marshall College Poll: Survey of Pennsylvanians Summary of Findings" (PDF). Franklin & Marshall. 29 October 2015. Retrieved 22 January 2016.
↑ "Quinnipiac poll" (PDF). Quinnipiac.edu. Retrieved 2015-08-20.
↑ "Quinnipiac poll" (PDF). quinnipiac.edu. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
↑ http://www.electionreturns.state.pa.us/ENR_New/Home/CountyResults?countyName=Tioga&ElectionID=54&ElectionType=P&IsActive=0
↑ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved 2016-10-16.
↑ "Pennsylvania Primary Election Results 2016". Retrieved 2016-10-16.

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