North Carolina Democratic primary, 2016

March 15, 2016 (2016-03-15)



Candidate	Hillary Clinton	Bernie Sanders
Home state	New York	Vermont
Delegate count	60	47
Popular vote	622,915	467,018
Percentage	54.50%	40.86%

Election results by county.

Hillary Clinton

Bernie Sanders

The 2016 North Carolina Democratic primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of North Carolina as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

On the same day, the Democratic Party held primaries in Florida, Illinois, Missouri, and Ohio, while the Republican Party held primaries in the same five states, including their own North Carolina primary, plus the Northern Mariana Islands.

Opinion polling

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Primary results	March 15, 2016	Hillary Clinton 54.5%	Bernie Sanders 40.9%		Others / Uncommitted 4.6%
Public Policy Polling^[1] Margin of error: ± 3.6% Sample size: 747	March 11–13, 2016	Hillary Clinton 56%	Bernie Sanders 37%		Others / Undecided 7%
High Point University/SurveyUSA^[2] Margin of error: ± 3.8% Sample size: 669	March 9–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton 58%	Bernie Sanders 34%		Others / Undecided 8%
WRAL/SurveyUSA^[3] Margin of error: ± 3.8% Sample size: 687	March 4–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton 57%	Bernie Sanders 34%		Others / Undecided 9%
Civitas^[4] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500	March 3-7, 2016	Hillary Clinton 57%	Bernie Sanders 28%		Others / Undecided 15%
Elon University^[5] Margin of error: ± 3.6% Sample size: 728	February 15–17, 2016	Hillary Clinton 47%	Bernie Sanders 37%		Others / Undecided 16%
SurveryUSA^[6] Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 449	February 14–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton 51%	Bernie Sanders 36%		No Preference 4%, Undecided 9%
Public Policy Polling^[7] Margin of error: ± 4.1 Sample size: 575	February 14–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton 52%	Bernie Sanders 35%		Others / Undecided 13%
High Point^[8] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 478	January 30 – February 4, 2016	Hillary Clinton 55%	Bernie Sanders 29%	Martin O'Malley 1%	Not Sure 15%
Public Policy Polling^[9] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 461	January 18–19, 2016	Hillary Clinton 59%	Bernie Sanders 26%	Martin O'Malley 5%	Not Sure 10%
Civitas^[10] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500	January 13–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton 53%	Bernie Sanders 28%	Martin O'Malley 2%	Undecided 17%

Polls in 2015

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Public Policy Polling^[11] Margin of error: ± 2.8% Sample size: 555	December 5–7, 2015	Hillary Clinton 60%	Bernie Sanders 21%	Martin O'Malley 10%	Not Sure 9%
Elon University^[12] Margin of error: ± 4.32% Sample size: 514	October 29 – November 2, 2015	Hillary Clinton 57%	Bernie Sanders 24%	Martin O'Malley 3%	Other 2% Undecided/DK 13% Refused 0.5%
Public Policy Polling^[13] Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 421	October 23–25, 2015	Hillary Clinton 61%	Bernie Sanders 24%	Martin O'Malley 5%	Lawrence Lessig 2%
Public Policy Polling^[14] Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 605	September 24–27, 2015	Hillary Clinton 37%	Joe Biden 30%	Bernie Sanders 17%	Jim Webb 3%, Lincoln Chafee 2%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Lawrence Lessig 0%, Not sure 10%
Elon University^[15] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 427	September 17–21, 2015	Hillary Clinton 53.40%	Bernie Sanders 23.00%	Jim Webb 1.60%	Lincoln Chafee 0.70%, Lawrence Lessig 0.70%, Martin O'Malley 0.20%, Other 2.10%, Undecided/Don't know 17.10%, Refuse 1.20%
Public Policy Polling^[16] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 477	August 12–16, 2015	Hillary Clinton 55%	Bernie Sanders 19%	Jim Webb 5%	Lincoln Chafee 2%, Martin O'Malley 2%, Lawrence Lessig 1%
Public Policy Polling^[17] Margin of error: ± 5.8% Sample size: 286	July 2–6, 2015	Hillary Clinton 55%	Bernie Sanders 20%	Jim Webb 7%	Lincoln Chafee 4%, Martin O'Malley 4%, Someone else/Undecided 11%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 5.9% Sample size: 274	May 28–31, 2015	Hillary Clinton 62%	Bernie Sanders 14%	Jim Webb 5%	Lincoln Chafee 4%, Martin O'Malley 4%, Someone else/Undecided 12%
Survey USA Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 442	April 22–27, 2015	Hillary Clinton 56%	Elizabeth Warren 11%	Joe Biden 8%	Martin O'Malley 3%, Bernie Sanders 3%, Jim Webb 3%, Other/Undecided 16%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: 370	April 2–5, 2015	Hillary Clinton 53%	Joe Biden 13%	Elizabeth Warren 11%	Martin O'Malley 5%, Jim Webb 3%, Bernie Sanders 2%, Someone else/Undecided 12%
Civitas Institute Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 400	March 20–23, 2015	Hillary Clinton 53%	Elizabeth Warren 19%	Joe Biden 9%	Bernie Sanders 5%, Martin O'Malley 2%, Other/Undecided 13%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 401	February 24–26, 2015	Hillary Clinton 56%	Elizabeth Warren 13%	Joe Biden 11%	Martin O'Malley 3%, Jim Webb 3%, Bernie Sanders 1%, Someone else/Undecided 12%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 385	January 29–31, 2015	Hillary Clinton 54%	Joe Biden 18%	Elizabeth Warren 12%	Bernie Sanders 3%, Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 2%, Someone else/Not sure 10%

Polls in 2014

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 381	December 4–7, 2014	Hillary Clinton 52%	Joe Biden 18%	Elizabeth Warren 7%	Bernie Sanders 5%, Andrew Cuomo 4%, Jim Webb 2%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Brian Schweitzer 0%, Someone else/Not sure 10%
Suffolk Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 254	August 16–19, 2014	Hillary Clinton 57.09%	Joe Biden 14.96%	Elizabeth Warren 9.06%	Martin O'Malley 2.76%, Andrew Cuomo 1.97%, Undecided 11.42%, Refused 2.76%
Civitas Institute Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 336	July 28–29, 2014	Hillary Clinton 40%	Elizabeth Warren 12%	Joe Biden 9%	Andrew Cuomo 3%, Bernie Sanders 2%, Howard Dean 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Amy Klobuchar 0%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Won't vote in Democratic primary 15%, Undecided 14%, Refused 3%, Other 0%

Results

North Carolina Democratic primary, March 15, 2016
Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
Candidate	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Hillary Clinton	622,915	54.50%	60	8	68
Bernie Sanders	467,018	40.86%	47	2	49
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)	12,122	1.06%
Rocky De La Fuente	3,376	0.30%
No Preference	37,485	3.28%
Uncommitted	N/A			3	3
Total	1,142,916	100%	107	13	120
Sources: The Green Papers, North Carolina State board of Elections, North Carolina Democratic Party - Official Delegation for Pledged Delegates

Analysis

After North Carolina had sealed the deal on Clinton's dying 2008 presidential effort eight years prior by handing a double-digit win to Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton managed a commanding 13-percentage-point-victory in North Carolina over Bernie Sanders in 2016. Clinton won both men 48-47, and women 59-37; she won both married and unmarried women voters in the state. While Sanders won 59-40 with younger voters, and 52-43 with white voters, Clinton won 64-30 with older voters and 80-19 with African American voters. Clinton swept all educational attainment levels and all income levels except those who made between $50k and $100k per year. Clinton won Democrats 65-34, but lost Independents 58-34 to Sanders. Clinton won among liberals, moderates, and conservatives in the Old North State.

Clinton won in urban, suburban, and rural areas of the state. She won Raleigh-Durham 55-42, the Charlotte area 60-39, Piedmont and central North Carolina 60-31, and Eastern North Carolina 58-34. Sanders performed strongly in Western North Carolina, which is whiter, conservative, more rural and considered to be part of Appalachia, winning 52-44. Outside of the western part of the state, Sanders won only three counties: New Hanover, home to Wilmington; the state's eighth most populated city, Dare, and Orange, the latter of which is home to the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.

References

↑ "Midwestern States a Toss Up Tuesday" (PDF).
↑
↑
↑
↑
↑ SurveyUSA
↑ "Trump, Clinton Continue To Lead By Double Digits in NC" (PDF).
↑ High Point University. "HPU Poll: Clinton Leads Democratic Primary; Trump, Cruz and Rubio Have Most GOP Support". High Point University.
↑ "Trump Keeps Gaining in NC; Clinton Maintains Huge Lead" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. 20 January 2016. Retrieved 22 January 2016.
↑ Dowdy, Demi (27 January 2016). "Civitas Poll: Clinton Maintains Strong Lead among NC Democrats". Civitas Institute. Retrieved 5 February 2016.
↑ "PPP NC poll" (PDF).
↑ "Presidential Primary Poll October 29 – November 2, 2015" (PDF). Elon University. Retrieved 22 January 2016.
↑ "Clinton rising in North Carolina; Trump still leads" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. 27 October 2015. Retrieved 22 January 2016.
↑ "Trump Steady in North Carolina; Biden Polls Well" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-09-30.
↑ "Elon University Presidential Primary Poll September 17–21, 2015" (PDF). www.elon.edu. Retrieved 2015-09-24.
↑ "Trump Continues to Grow in North Carolina; Dem Race Steady" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-08-20.
↑ "PPP NC" (PDF). publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09.

Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016

Candidates Endorsements Debates and forums Polling Results Convention Superdelegates

States	Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming

Others	American Samoa Democrats Abroad District of Columbia Guam Northern Mariana Islands Puerto Rico United States Virgin Islands

This article is issued from Wikipedia - version of the 11/7/2016. The text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution/Share Alike but additional terms may apply for the media files.