Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012

For statewide polls conducted before 2012, see Pre-2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012.

For the most recent statewide polls, see Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012.

This article is a collection of statewide polls for the United States presidential election, 2012. The polls listed here, by state are from January 1 to August 31, 2012 and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.

Note: Some states had not conducted polling yet or no updated polls were present from January 1 to August 31, 2012

Obama vs. Romney

Obama vs. Gingrich

Obama vs. Santorum

Obama vs. Paul

Alabama

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 60%–38%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Capital Survey Research Center	August 13–16, 2012	Barack Obama	36%	Mitt Romney	54%	18	452 RV	±4.6%
Capital Survey Research Center	June 7, 18–19, 26–27, 2012	Barack Obama	36%	Mitt Romney	51%	15	551	±4.2%

Arizona

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	July 23–25, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	52%	11	833 RV	±%
Rasmussen Reports	June 26, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	54%	13	500 LV	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	June 4–5, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	49%	3	791	±3.5%
Public Policy Polling	May 17 – May 20, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	50%	7	500	±4.4%
Magellan Strategies	April 30 – May 2, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	52%	9	909	±3.25%
Behavior Research Center	April 9–17, 2012	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	40%	2	511	±4.4%
Arizona State University	April 8–14, 2012	Barack Obama	40%	Mitt Romney	42%	2	488	±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports	March 13, 2012	Barack Obama	40%	Mitt Romney	51%	11	500	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	March 13, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Rick Santorum	45%	1	500	±4.5%
NBC News/Marist College	February 19–20, 2012	Barack Obama	40%	Mitt Romney	45%	5	2,487	±1.8%
		Barack Obama	41%	Ron Paul	43%	2
		Barack Obama	45%	Newt Gingrich	40%	5
		Barack Obama	42%	Rick Santorum	45%	3
Public Policy Polling	February 17–19, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	47%	Tie	743	±3.6%
		Barack Obama	46%	Ron Paul	42%	4
		Barack Obama	48%	Newt Gingrich	44%	4
		Barack Obama	46%	Rick Santorum	47%	1
Behavior Research Center	January 5–9, 2012	Barack Obama	37%	Mitt Romney	43%	6	553	±4.3%
		Barack Obama	44%	Ron Paul	36%	8
			45%	Newt Gingrich	35%	10
			43%	Rick Santorum	34%	9

Three Way race

Poll source	Date	Democratic	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	May 17–20, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	45%	Gary Johnson	9%	4	500	±4.4%

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Talk Business-Hendrix College	March 26, 2012	Barack Obama	33%	Mitt Romney	57%	24	759	±3.6%

California

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
The Field Poll	June 21 – July 2, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Mitt Romney	37%	18	848LV	±3.4%
SurveyUSA	May 27–29, 2012	Barack Obama	57%	Mitt Romney	36%	21	1,575	±2.5%
Field	May 21–29, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	32%	16	710	±3.8%
Los Angeles Times	May 17–21, 2012	Barack Obama	56%	Mitt Romney	37%	19	1,002	±3.5%
PPIC	May 14–20, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	39%	11	894	±%
Survey USA	March 29, 2012 – April 2, 2012	Barack Obama	62%	Mitt Romney	31%	31	1,995	±2.2%
Los Angeles Times	March 14–19, 2012	Barack Obama	57%	Mitt Romney	36%	21	1,500	±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports	February 8–16, 2012	Barack Obama	57%	Mitt Romney	35%	22	500	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	February 8–16, 2012	Barack Obama	58%	Rick Santorum	30%	28	500	±4.5%
SurveyUSA	February 8–9, 2012	Barack Obama	60%	Mitt Romney	31%	29	2,088	±2.1%
			63%	Newt Gingrich	27%	36
			61%	Ron Paul	29%	31
			61%	Rick Santorum	29%	32

Colorado

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Keating Research	August 21–22, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	44%	4	500	±4.4%
Purple Strategies	August 13–14, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	600	±4.0%
Rasmussen	August 6, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	47%	Tied	500 LV	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	August 2–5, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	43%	6	779 LV	±3.5%
Purple Strategies	July 9–13, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	44%	1	600 LV	±4.0%
We Ask America	June 25, 2012	Barack Obama	46.6%	Mitt Romney	43.0%	3.6	1,083LV	±2.98%
Public Policy Polling	June 14–17, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	42%	7	799LV	±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports	June 7, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	45%	Tied	500	±4.5%
Purple Strategies	May 31 – June 5, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	46%	2	600	±4.0%
NBC News/Marist Poll	May 22–24, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	45%	1	1,030	±3.0%
Project New America	May 21–24, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	44%	4	601	±4.0%
Purple Poll	April 19–23, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	47%	Tied	1,705	±4.1%
Public Policy Polling	April 5–7, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	40%	13	542	±4.2%
			55%	Newt Gingrich	37%	18
			54%	Rick Santorum	38%	16
			47%	Ron Paul	42%	5

Three Way race

Poll source	Date	Democratic	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	August 2–5, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	42%	Gary Johnson	4%	4	779	±3.5%
Public Policy Polling	June 14–17, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	39%	Gary Johnson	7%	8	799	±3.5%

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac	August 22–26, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	45%	7	1,472 LV	±2.6%
Rasmussen	August 21, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	43%	8	500 LV	±4.5%
Quinnipiac	May 29, 2012 – June 3, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	38%	12	1,408	±2.6%
Quinnipiac	March 14–19, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	37%	16	1,622	±2.4%
Quinnipiac	March 14–19, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Rick Santorum	35%	20	1,622	±2.4%

Florida

29 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
CNN/TIME/ORC	August 22–26, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	776 LV	±3.5%
Quinnipiac	August 15–21, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	1,241 LV	±%
Gravis Marketing	August 20, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	48%	3	728 LV	±3.8%
Foster Mc Collum	August 17, 2012	Barack Obama	40%	Mitt Romney	54%	14	1,503 LV	±2.53%
Rasmussen Reports	August 15, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	45%	2	500	±4.5%
Purple Strategies	August 13–14, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	600	±4.0%
Quinnipiac	July 24–30, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	45%	6	1,177 LV	±3.0%
Public Policy Polling	July 26–29, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	47%	1	871 LV	±3.3%
SurveyUSA	July 17–19, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	43%	5	647 LV	±3.9%
Purple Strategies	July 9–13, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	48%	3	600 LV	±4.0%
Mason Dixon	July 9-11, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	45%	1	800RV	±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports	July 10, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	46%	1	500LV	±4.5%
We Ask America	July 1–2, 2012	Barack Obama	46.1%	Mitt Romney	45.3%	0.8	1,127LV	±2.9%
Quinnipiac	June 19–25, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	41%	4	1,200RV	±2.8%
Quinnipiac	June 12–18, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	42%	4	1,697RV	±2.4%
Purple Strategies	May 31, 2012 – June 5, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	49%	4	600LV	±4.0%
Public Policy Polling	May 31 – June 3, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	642RV	±3.9%
Quinnipiac	May 15–21, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	47%	6	1,722RV	±2.4%
NBC News/Marist	May 17–20, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	44%	4	1,078RV	±3.0%
Suffolk/7News	May 5–8, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	45%	1	600	±--%
Quinnipiac	April 25 – May 1, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	44%	1	1,169	±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports	April 25, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	46%	1	500	±4.5%
Purple Poll	April 19–23, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	1,705	±4.1%
Fox News Anderson Robbins Shaw & Co.	April 15–17, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	43%	2	757	±4.0%
Public Policy Polling	April 12–15, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Newt Gingrich	40%	8	700	±3.7%
			50%	Ron Paul	40%	10
			50%	Mitt Romney	45%	5
Quinnipiac	March 20–26, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	42%	7	1,228	±2.8%
Quinnipiac	March 20–26, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Rick Santorum	37%	13	1,228	±2.8%
Rasmussen Reports	March 13, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	43%	3	500	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	March 13, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Rick Santorum	43%	2	500	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	February 9, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	44%	3	500	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	February 9, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Rick Santorum	46%	1	500	±4.5%
NBC News/Marist College	January 25–27, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	41%	8	2,795	±1.9%
			52%	Newt Gingrich	35%	17
			50%	Ron Paul	36%	14
			50%	Rick Santorum	35%	15
Mason-Dixon Miami Herald El Nuevo Herald	January 24–26, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	48%	4	800	±3.5%
		Barack Obama	50%	Newt Gingrich	41%	9
		Barack Obama	50%	Rick Santorum	39%	11
Suffolk University	January 22–24, 2012	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	47%	5	600	±--%
Suffolk University	January 22–24, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Newt Gingrich	40%	9	600	±--%
Quinnipiac	January 19–23, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	45%	Tied	1,518	±2.5%
		Barack Obama	50%	Newt Gingrich	39%	11
			47%	Ron Paul	39%	8
			49%	Rick Santorum	40%	9
Everglades Foundation/Tarrance Group	January 4–8, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	45%	1	607	±4.1%
Quinnipiac	January 4–8, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	1,412	±2.8%
Quinnipiac	January 4–8, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Rick Santorum	43%	2	1,412	±2.8%

Three Way race

Poll source	Date	Democratic	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Mason Dixon	July 9-11, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	45%	Gary Johnson	2%	1	800	±3.5%

Georgia

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
20/20 Insight	August 15–18, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	49%	3	1,158 LV	±2.9%
Insider Advantage	May 22, 2012	Barack Obama	40%	Mitt Romney	52%	12	438	±%
Landmark/Rosetta Stone	May 10, 2012	Barack Obama	40%	Mitt Romney	51%	11	600	±4.0%
Survey USA	February 23–26, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Newt Gingrich	48%	4	1,156	±2.9%
			42%	Mitt Romney	49%	7
			43%	Rick Santorum	47%	4
			43%	Ron Paul	46%	3

Illinois

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 55%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Crain's/Ipsos	July 16–22, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	31%	20	600	±4.7%
Chicago Tribune	February 2–6, 2012	Barack Obama	56%	Mitt Romney	35%	21	600	±4.0%

Indiana

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Ramussen Reports	July 31 – August 1, 2012	Barack Obama	35%	Mitt Romney	51%	16	400	±5.0%
Ramussen Reports	May 25, 2012	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	48%	6	600	±4.0%
Howey Politics DePauw University Bellwether Research Garin-Hart-Yang	March 26–27, 2012	Barack Obama	40%	Mitt Romney	49%	9	503	±4.5%
	March 26–27, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Rick Santorum	46%	5	503	±4.5%

Iowa

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	August 23–26, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	45%	2	1,244	±2.8%
Rasmussen	August 8, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	46%	2	500 LV	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	July 12–15, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	43%	5	1,131	±2.91%
We Ask America	June 18, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	44%	1	1,086	±3.0%
Ramussen Reports	June 11, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	47%	1	500	±4.0%
NBC News/Marist Poll	May 22–24, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	44%	Tied	1,106	±3.0%
Public Policy Polling	May 3–6, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Ron Paul	39%	8	1,181	±2.85%
Public Policy Polling	May 3–6, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	41%	10	1,181	±2.85%
Des Moines Register	February 12–15, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Newt Gingrich	37%	14	611	±3.5%
		Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	46%	2
			42%	Ron Paul	49%	7
			44%	Rick Santorum	48%	4

Maine

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Critical Insights	June 20–25, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	35%	14	615	±4.0%
MassINC	June 13–14, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	34%	14	506LV	±4.4%
Critical Insights	May 2–7, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	42%	8	600	±4.0%
Public Policy Polling	March 2–4, 2012	Barack Obama	54%	Ron Paul	38%	16	1,256	±2.8%
			58%	Rick Santorum	35%	23
			60%	Newt Gingrich	32%	28
			58%	Mitt Romney	35%	23

Maryland

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 56%–43%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	May 14–16, 2012	Barack Obama	58%	Mitt Romney	35%	23	852	±3.4%

Massachusetts

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	August 16 – 19, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Mitt Romney	39%	16	1,115LV	±2.9%
Public Policy Polling	June 22–24, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Mitt Romney	39%	16	902LV	±3.3%
W.N.E. University Poll	May 29–31, 2012	Barack Obama	56%	Mitt Romney	34%	22	504	±4.4%
The Boston Globe	May 25–31, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	34%	12	651	±3.8%
Suffolk University	May 20–22, 2012	Barack Obama	59%	Mitt Romney	34%	25	600	±%
Rasmussen Reports	May 7, 2012	Barack Obama	56%	Mitt Romney	35%	21	500	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	April 9, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	40%	11	500	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	March 16–18, 2012	Barack Obama	62%	Newt Gingrich	28%	34	936	±3.2%
			58%	Ron Paul	30%	28
			58%	Mitt Romney	35%	23
			61%	Rick Santorum	29%	32
Rasmussen Reports	February 11–15, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Mitt Romney	38%	17	500	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	February 11–15, 2012	Barack Obama	58%	Rick Santorum	32%	26	500	±4.5%
Suffolk University	February 11–15, 2012	Barack Obama	63%	Newt Gingrich	27%	36	600	±4.0%
			53%	Mitt Romney	39%	14
			59%	Rick Santorum	32%	27
			60%	Ron Paul	26%	34

Four Way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Green	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±3.3% Sample size: 902LV	June 22–24, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	38%	Jill Stein	3%	Gary Johnson	1%	15

Michigan

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
EPIC-MRA	August 28, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	N/A	±2.6%
Detroit News	August 18–20, 2012	Barack Obama	47.5%	Mitt Romney	42.0%	5.5	600 LV	±4.0%
Foster McCollum	August 16, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	45%	1	1,733 LV	±2.35%
Mitchell Research	August 13, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	44%	5	1,079 LV	±2.98%
EPIC-MRA	July 24–31, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	42%	6	600	±3.5%
Mitchell Research	July 23, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	45%	1	825 LV	±3.4%
Rasmussen	July 23, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	42%	6	500 LV	±4.5%
PPP	July 21–23, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	39%	14	579 RV	±4.1%
NBC News/Marist College	June 28, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	39%	5	1209 LV	±3.0%
Mitchell	June 18, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	46%	1	750 LV	±3.58%
We Ask America	June 18, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	45%	2	1,010LV	±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports	June 14, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	42%	8	500 LV	±4.5%
Foster McCollum	June 12, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	45%	2	1,783	±2.32%
EPIC-MRA	June 2–5, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	46%	1	600	±4.0%
Public Policy Polling	May 24–27, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	39%	14	500	±4.4%
Glengariff Group	May 10–11, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	40%	5	600	±4.0%
EPIC-MRA	March 31 – April 3, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	43	4	600	±4.0%
NBC News/Marist College	February 19–20, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Rick Santorum	29%	26	3,149	±1.8%
			56%	Newt Gingrich	28%	28
			53%	Ron Paul	31%	22
			51%	Mitt Romney	33%	18
Public Policy Polling	February 10–12, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Rick Santorum	39%	11	560	±4.14%
			56%	Newt Gingrich	34%	22
			52%	Ron Paul	34%	18
			54%	Mitt Romney	38%	16
Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA	January 21–25, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Newt Gingrich	38%	13	600	±4.0%
Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA	January 21–25, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	40%	8	600	±4.0%

Minnesota

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
SurveyUSA	July 17–19, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	40%	6	552	±4.3%
Public Policy Polling	May 31 – June 3, 2012	Barack Obama	54%	Mitt Romney	39%	15	973	±3.1%
Survey USA	May 9–10, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	38%	14	516	±4.4%
Survey USA	January 31 – February 2, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	36%	13	542	±4.3%
			55%	Newt Gingrich	29%	26
			48%	Ron Paul	37%	11
			51%	Rick Santorum	32%	19
Public Policy Polling	January 21–22, 2012	Barack Obama	54%	Newt Gingrich	39%	15	1,236	±2.8%
			52%	Rick Santorum	40%	12
			51%	Ron Paul	38%	13
			51%	Mitt Romney	41%	10

Missouri

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 53%–46%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–49%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	August 28–29, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	53%	12	621 LV	±3.9%
Gravis Marketing	August 23, 2012	Barack Obama	36%	Mitt Romney	53%	17	1,057 LV	±3.4%
Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon	August 22–23, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	50%	7	625 LV	±4.0%
Rasmussen	August 22, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	46%	1	500 LV	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	August 20, 2012	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	52%	10	500 LV	±4.4%
SurveyUSA	August 9–12, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	45%	1	585 LV	±4.1%
Chilenski Strategies	August 8, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	663LV	±3.8%
Rasmussen	July 30, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	50%	6	500	±4.5%
We Ask America	July 24, 2012	Barack Obama	39.7%	Mitt Romney	49.0%	9.3	1,172	±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports	June 7, 2012	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	49%	7	500	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	May 24–27, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	44%	1	602	±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports	April 17, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	48%	3	500	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	March 14–15, 2012	Barack Obama	42%	Rick Santorum	51%	9	500	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	March 14–15, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	50%	9	500	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	January 27–29, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Newt Gingrich	42%	7	582	±4.1%
		Barack Obama	45%	Ron Paul	43%	2
		Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	45%	Tied
		Barack Obama	47%	Rick Santorum	44%	3

Three Way race

Poll source	Date	Democratic	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
We Ask America	July 24, 2012	Barack Obama	39.7%	Mitt Romney	49.0%	Gary Johnson	2.1%	9.3	1,172 LV	±3.0%

Montana

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Rasmussen Reports	August 20, 2012	Barack Obama	38%	Mitt Romney	55%	17	500 LV	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	June 18, 2012	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	51%	9	500	±5.0%
Rasmussen Reports	May 2, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	51%	7	450	±5.0%
Public Policy Polling	April 26–29, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	48%	5	934	±3.2%
		Barack Obama	41%	Ron Paul	49%	8
		Barack Obama	45%	Newt Gingrich	45%	Tie
Rasmussen Reports	February 22, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	48%	7	500	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	February 22, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Rick Santorum	45%	4	500	±4.5%

Three Way race

Poll source	Date	Democratic	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	April 26–29, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	43%	Gary Johnson	8%	2	934	±3.2%

Nebraska

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–33%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Rasmussen Reports	May 16, 2012	Barack Obama	39%	Mitt Romney	53%	14	500	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling (Statewide)	March 22–25, 2012	Barack Obama	39%	Mitt Romney	51%	12	1,028	±3.1%
			38%	Rick Santorum	55%	17
			40%	Newt Gingrich	49%	9
			37%	Ron Paul	49%	12
Public Policy Polling (2nd Congressional District)	March 22–25, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	46%	1	1,028	±3.1%
		Barack Obama	47%	Rick Santorum	47%	Tied
		Barack Obama	46%	Newt Gingrich	44%	2
		Barack Obama	42%	Ron Paul	44%	2
Rasmussen Reports	March 5, 2012	Barack Obama	35%	Mitt Romney	52%	17	500	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	March 5, 2012	Barack Obama	37%	Rick Santorum	49%	12	500	±4.5%

Nevada

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	August 23–26, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	47%	3	831 LV	±3.4%
LVRJ/SurveyUSA	August 16–21, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	45%	2	869 LV	±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports	July 24, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	45%	5	500	±4.5%
We Ask America	July 17–18, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	43%	6	1,092	±2.95%
Magellan Strategies	July 16–17, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	665	±3.8%
Public Policy Polling	June 7–10, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	42%	6	500	±4.4%
NBC News/Marist	May 22–24, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	46%	2	1,040	±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports	April 30, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	44%	8	500	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	March 29 – April 1, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	43%	8	533	±4.2%
			54%	Rick Santorum	40%	14
			49%	Ron Paul	42%	7
			54%	Newt Gingrich	39%	15
Rasmussen Reports	March 19, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	44%	6	500	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	March 19, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Rick Santorum	36%	16	500	±4.5%

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	August 9–12, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	45%	6	1,055 LV	±3.0%
UNH/WMUR	August 1–12, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	555 LV	±4.1%
UNH/WMUR	July 5–15, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	45%	4	521	±4.3%
NBC News/Marist College	June 28, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	42%	1	1029 LV	±3.1%
American Research Group	June 21–24, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	43%	8	535RV	±4.2%
American Research Group	June 21–24, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	417LV	±--%
Rasmussen	June 20, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	43%	5	500	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	May 10–13, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	41%	12	1,163	±2.9%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire	April 9–20, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	42%	9	486	±4.4%
Dartmouth College	April 2–5, 2012	Barack Obama	42.4%	Mitt Romney	43.9%	1.5	403	±4.9%
WMUR Granite State	January 25 – February 2, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	40%	10	527	±4.3%
			50%	Ron Paul	42%	8
			60%	Newt Gingrich	35%	25
			56%	Rick Santorum	35%	21

Three Way race

Poll source	Date	Democratic candidate	%	Republican candidate	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	May 10–13, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	38%	Gary Johnson	7%	13	1,163	±2.9%

New Jersey

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 52%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Rutgers University	August 23–25, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	37%	14	710 LV	±3.5%
Monmouth University	July 18–22, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	38%	13	678 RV	±3.8%
Quinnipiac	July 9–15, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	38%	11	1,623 RV	±2.4%
Rutgers-Eagleton	May 31 – June 4, 2012	Barack Obama	56%	Mitt Romney	33%	23	1,065 RV	±2.9%
Quinnipiac	May 9–14, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	39%	10	1,582	±2.5%
Fairleigh Dickinson University	April 30 – May 6, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	36%	14	797	±3.5%
Quinnipiac	April 3–9, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	40	9	1,607	±2.4%
Quinnipiac	April 3–9, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Rick Santorum	36%	15	1,607	±2.4%
Quinnipiac	February 21–27, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	39%	10	1,396	±2.6%
			55%	Newt Gingrich	30%	25
			52%	Rick Santorum	34%	18
Survey USA	February 24–26, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	38%	14	533	±4.3%
			61%	Newt Gingrich	27%	34
			57%	Rick Santorum	33%	24
			56%	Ron Paul	31%	25
Rutgers-Eagleton Institute of Politics	February 9-11 2012	Barack Obama	56%	Mitt Romney	31%	25	914	±3.3%
Quinnipiac	January 10–16 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	38%	10	1,460	±2.6%

New Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Rasmussen	August 21, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	38%	14	500 LV	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	July 13–16, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	44%	5	724	±3.6%
We Ask America	July 9–10, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	40%	11	1,295 LV	±2.8%
FMMMA	May 16–21, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	35%	13	502	±4.4%
Public Policy Polling	April 19–22, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	35%	14	526	±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports	April 3, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Rick Santorum	38%	15	500	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	April 3, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	36%	16	500	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	February 14, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Rick Santorum	37%	18	590	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	February 14, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Mitt Romney	36%	19	590	±4.5%

Three Way race

Poll source	Date	Democratic candidate	%	Republican candidate	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	July 13–16, 2012	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	38%	Gary Johnson	13%	4	724	±3.64%
Public Policy Polling	April 19–22, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	35%	Gary Johnson	15%	13	526	±4.3%

New York

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Siena	August 14–19, 2012	Barack Obama	62%	Mitt Romney	33%	29	671 LV	±3.8%
Siena	July 10–15, 2012	Barack Obama	61%	Mitt Romney	34%	27	758 RV	±3.6%
Siena	June 3–6, 2012	Barack Obama	59%	Mitt Romney	35%	24	807	±3.4%
Quinnipiac	May 22–28, 2012	Barack Obama	56%	Mitt Romney	31%	25	1,504	±2.5%
Siena College	May 6–10, 2012	Barack Obama	57%	Mitt Romney	37%	20	766	±3.5%
NY1/YNN-Marist	April 10–12, 2012	Barack Obama	57%	Mitt Romney	35%	22	632	±4.0%
Siena College	April 1–4, 2012	Barack Obama	65%	Newt Gingrich	29%	36	808	±3.4%
			61%	Ron Paul	31%	30
			60%	Mitt Romney	35%	25
			62%	Rick Santorum	23%	39
Quinnipiac	March 28 – April 2, 2012	Barack Obama	56%	Mitt Romney	33%	23	1,597	±2.5%
Quinnipiac	March 28 – April 2, 2012	Barack Obama	59%	Rick Santorum	30%	29	1,597	±2.5%
Siena College	February 26–29, 2012	Barack Obama	60%	Mitt Romney	34%	26	808	±3.4%
			64%	Rick Santorum	30%	34
			62%	Ron Paul	29%	33
			66%	Newt Gingrich	27%	39
Quinnipiac	February 8–13, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	35%	17	1,233	±2.8%
			57%	Newt Gingrich	31%	26
			53%	Rick Santorum	35%	18

North Carolina

15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
SurveyUSA/HPU/FOX8	August 26–30, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	543 RV	±4.3%
Elon University Poll	August 25–30, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	47%	4	1,089 LV	±3%
CNN/TIME/ORC	August 22–26, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	766 LV	±3.5%
Public Policy Polling	August 2–5, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	813 LV	±3.4%
Civitas	July 16–18, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	49%	1	600 RV	±4%
Public Policy Polling	July 5–8, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	46%	1	775	±3.5%
Civitas/SurveyUSA	June 29 – July 1, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	50%	5	558 RV	±4.2%
NBC News/Marist College	June 28, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	44%	2	1208 LV	±3.1%
Rasmussen	June 25, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	47%	3	500	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	June 7–10, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	48%	2	810	±3.4%
Survey USA	May 18–21, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	45%	1	524	±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports	May 14, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	51%	8	500	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	May 10–13, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	47%	1	666	±3.8%
Survey USA	April 26–30, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	43%	4	1,636	±2.5%
Rasmussen Reports	April 10, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	46%	2	500	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	April 4–7, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Newt Gingrich	41%	10	975	±3.1%
			48%	Ron Paul	43%	5
			49%	Mitt Romney	44%	5
			50%	Rick Santorum	44%	6
Public Policy Polling	March 8–11, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Newt Gingrich	42%	9	804	±3.5%
			48%	Ron Paul	41%	7
			49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3
			49%	Rick Santorum	44%	5
Public Policy Polling	February 3–5, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Newt Gingrich	45%	5	1,052	±3.5%
			47%	Ron Paul	41%	6
			47%	Mitt Romney	46%	1
			48%	Rick Santorum	46%	2
Civitas Institute	January 9-11, 2012	Barack Obama	39%	Mitt Romney	48%	9	300	±4.0%
Public Policy Polling	January 5–8, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	45%	1	780	±3.5%
			49%	Newt Gingrich	43%	6
			47%	Ron Paul	41%	6
			49%	Rick Perry	41%	8
		Barack Obama	46%	Rick Santorum	46%	Tied

Three Way race

Poll source	Date	Democratic candidate	%	Republican candidate	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	May 10–13, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	44%	Gary Johnson	6%	2	666	±3.8%

North Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 63%–36%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
DFM Research (D-ND Dems/NPL)	July 24 – 26, 2012	Barack Obama	35%	Mitt Romney	54%	19	400 LV	±4.9%
Rasmussen Reports	July 10–11, 2012	Barack Obama	36%	Mitt Romney	51%	15	400	±5.0%
Mason-Dixon	June 4–6, 2012	Barack Obama	39%	Mitt Romney	52%	13	625	±4.0%

Ohio

18 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Columbus Dispatch	August 15–25, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	45%	Tied	1,758 LV	±2.1%
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS	August 21, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	44%	6	1,253 LV	±%
University of Cincinnati	August 16–21, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	847 LV	±3.4%
Purple Strategies	August 13–14, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	46%	2	600	±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports	August 13, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	45%	Tied	500 LV	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	August 9–12, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	45%	3	961 LV	±3.2%
Quinnipiac	July 24–30, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	44%	6	1,193 LV	±3.0%
We Ask America	July 24, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	40%	8	1,115	±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports	July 18, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	45%	2	500	±4.5%
Purple Strategies	July 9–13, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	45%	3	600 LV	±4.0%
Quinnipiac	June 19–25, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	38%	9	1,237 RV	±2.8%
PPP	June 21–24, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	44%	3	673	±3.8%
Purple Strategies	May 31 – June 5, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	48%	3	600	±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports	May 29, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	46%	2	500	±4.5%
NBC News/Marist	May 17–20, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	42%	6	1,103RV	±3.0%
Quinnipiac	May 2–7, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	44%	1	1,069	±3.0%
Public Policy Polling	May 3–6, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Ron Paul	40%	8	875	±3.3%
Public Policy Polling	May 3–6, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	43%	7	875	±3.3%
Quinnipiac	April 25 – May 1, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	42%	2	1,130	±2.9%
Purple Poll	April 19–23, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	44%	5	1,705	±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports	April 18, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	42%	4	500	±4.5%
Fox News Anderson Robbins Shaw & Co.	April 15–17, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	39%	6	606	±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports	March 26, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	40%	8	500	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	March 26, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Rick Santorum	41%	6	500	±4.5%
Quinnipiac	March 20–26, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	41%	6	1,246	±2.8%
Quinnipiac	March 20–26, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Rick Santorum	40%	7	1,246	±2.8%
NBC News/Marist	February 29 – March 2, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	38%	12	Varies^[1]	±2.5%
			51%	Newt Gingrich	36%	15
			48%	Ron Paul	38%	10
			50%	Rick Santorum	36%	14
Fox News	February 11–13, 2012	Barack Obama	38%	Mitt Romney	44%	6	505	±4.5%
		Barack Obama	43%	Newt Gingrich	37%	6
		Barack Obama	40%	Rick Santorum	43%	3
		Barack Obama	41%	Ron Paul	42%	1
Quinnipiac	February 7–12, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Newt Gingrich	38%	12	1,421	±2.6%
			47%	Rick Santorum	41%	6
			46%	Ron Paul	40%	6
			46%	Mitt Romney	44%	2
Rasmussen Reports	February 8, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Rick Santorum	44%	Tied	500	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	February 8, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	41%	4	500	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	January 28–29, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Rick Santorum	42%	6	820	±3.4%
			51%	Newt Gingrich	39%	12
			48%	Ron Paul	38%	10
			49%	Mitt Romney	42%	7
Quinnipiac	January 9–16, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Rick Santorum	37%	11	1,610	±2.4%
			52%	Newt Gingrich	38%	14
			48%	Ron Paul	39%	9
			44%	Mitt Romney	42%	2

Oklahoma

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 65.6%–34.4%
(Republican in 2008) 65.7%–34.4%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
SoonerPoll	July 26 – August 14, 2012	Barack Obama	29%	Mitt Romney	58%	29	495 LV	±4.4%
SoonerPoll	May 7–10, 2012	Barack Obama	27%	Mitt Romney	62%	35	504 LV	±4.4%

Oregon

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
PPP	June 21–24, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	42%	8	686	±3.7%
Survey USA	May 7–10, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	43%	4	1,468	±2.6%
Survey USA	March 14–19, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	39%	11	1,615	±2.5%
			54%	Newt Gingrich	34%	20
			49%	Rick Santorum	40%	9
			48%	Ron Paul	39%	9

Pennsylvania

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Philadelphia Inquirer	August 21–23, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	42%	9	601 LV	±4%
The Morning Call	August 20–22, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	40%	9	422 LV	±5%
Franklin and Marshall College	August 7–12, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	42%	5	681 RV	±3.8%
Quinnipiac	July 24–30, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	42%	11	1,168 LV	±3.0%
Public Policy Polling	July 21–23, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	43%	6	758 RV	±3.6%
Rasmussen	July 18, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	44%	4	500 LV	±4.5%
We Ask America	July 9–10, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	40%	7	1,227 LV	±2.8%
Quinnipiac	June 19–25, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	39%	6	1,252 RV	±2.8%
Quinnipiac	June 5–10, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	40%	6	997	±3.1%
Franklin & Marshall College	May 29 – June 4, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	36%	12	412	±%
Rasmussen Reports	May 23, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	41%	6	500	±4.5%
Quinnipiac	April 25 – May 1, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	39%	8	1,168	±2.9%
Quinnipiac	March 20–26, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	42%	3	1,232	±2.8%
Quinnipiac	March 20–26, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Rick Santorum	41%	7	1,232	±2.8%
Public Policy Polling	March 8–11, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	42%	7	689	±4.1%
			51%	Newt Gingrich	39%	12
			47%	Ron Paul	41%	6
			48%	Rick Santorum	46%	2
Quinnipiac	March 7–11, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	40%	6	1,256	±2.8%
			50%	Newt Gingrich	37%	13
			45%	Ron Paul	40%	5
			45%	Rick Santorum	44%	1
Rasmussen Reports	February 8–23, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	44%	1	438	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	February 8–23, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Rick Santorum	40%	6	438	±4.5%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call	February 15–21, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	37%	11	625	±4.0%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call	February 15–21, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Rick Santorum	41%	8	625	±4.0%
Franklin & Marshall College	February 14–20, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	33%	8	592	±4.0%
			47%	Newt Gingrich	31%	16
			41%	Ron Paul	28%	13
			45%	Rick Santorum	37%	8
Susquehanna Polling and Research	February 2–6, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	45%	2	800	±3.46%
Susquehanna Polling and Research	February 2–6, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Rick Santorum	43%	4	800	±3.46%

South Carolina

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Reuters/Ipsos	January 10–13, 2012	Barack Obama	40%	Mitt Romney	46%	6	995	±3.4%

South Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Nielson Brothers	July 19–23, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	49%	6	546	±4.19%

Tennessee

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Vanderbilt University	May 2–9, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	42%	1	1,002	±4%
Vanderbilt University	May 2–9, 2012	Barack Obama	40%	Mitt Romney	47%	7	~752 RV	±4%
Middle TN State University	February 13–25, 2012	Barack Obama	40%	Newt Gingrich	45%	4	416	±4.0%
			41%	Ron Paul	44%	3
			41%	Mitt Romney	47%	6
			39%	Rick Santorum	51%	12
Vanderbilt University	February 16–22, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Newt Gingrich	38%	3	1,508	±2.6%
		Barack Obama	39%	Ron Paul	40%	1
			39%	Mitt Romney	42%	3
			38%	Rick Santorum	42%	4

Texas

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
University of Texas/Texas Tribune	May 7–13, 2012	Barack Obama	35%	Mitt Romney	55%	20	511	±4.3%
Public Policy Polling	April 19–22, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	50%	7	491	±4.0
			45%	Newt Gingrich	47%	2
			43%	Ron Paul	47%	4
University of Texas/Texas Tribune	January 12–15, 2012	Barack Obama	38%	Newt Gingrich	49%	11	Varies^[2]	Varies
			36%	Mitt Romney	49%	13
			37%	Rick Santorum	51%	14
			35%	Ron Paul	44%	9
Public Policy Polling	January 12–15, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Newt Gingrich	45%	2	700	±3.7%
		Barack Obama	40%	Ron Paul	46%	6
			47%	Rick Perry	48%	1
			42%	Mitt Romney	49%	7
			42%	Rick Santorum	49%	7

Three Way race

Poll source	Date	Democratic	%	Republican	%	Other candidates	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	January 12–15, 2012	Barack Obama	39%	Mitt Romney	47%	Gary Johnson	7%	8	700	±3.7%
Public Policy Polling	January 12–15, 2012	Barack Obama	38%	Mitt Romney	40%	Ron Paul*	17%	2	700	±3.7%

– Ron Paul was running as a Republican candidate.

Utah

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 72%–26%
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Dan Jones Associates	June 21, 2012	Barack Obama	26%	Mitt Romney	68%	42	1,222	±2.8%

Vermont

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Castleton State College	August 11–21, 2012	Barack Obama	62%	Mitt Romney	25%	37	477 RV	±%
Castleton State College	May 7–16, 2012	Barack Obama	59%	Mitt Romney	28%	31	607	±4.0%
Castleton State College	February 11–22, 2012	Barack Obama	57%	Mitt Romney	31%	26	800	±3.5%
			59%	Rick Santorum	30%	29
			58%	Ron Paul	28%	30

Virginia

13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	August 16–19, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	45%	5	855 LV	±3.4%
Purple Strategies	August 13–14, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	48%	3	600	±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports	August 7, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	46%	2	500 LV	±4.5%
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS	July 31 – August 6, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	45%	4	1,412 LV	±%
Rasmussen Reports	July 16–17, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	46%	1	500 LV	±4.5%
Quinnipiac	July 10–16, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	44%	Tied	1,673 RV	±2.4%
Purple Strategies	July 9–13, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	44%	2	600 LV	±4.0%
Public Policy Polling	July 5–8, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	42%	8	647	±3.9%
We Ask America	June 25, 2012	Barack Obama	43.3%	Mitt Romney	48.0%	4.7	1,106	±2.95%
ODU/Virginian-Pilot	May 16 – June 15, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	42%	7	776 RV	±3.5%
Purple Strategies	May 31 – June 5, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	600	±4.0%
Quinnipiac	May 30 – June 4, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	42%	5	1,282RV	±2.7%
Rasmussen Reports	June 4, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	47%	Tied	500	±4.5%
NBC News/Marist	May 17–20, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	44%	4	1,076 RV	±3.0%
Washington Post	April 28 – May 1, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	44%	7	964	±4%
Public Policy Polling	April 26–29, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Newt Gingrich	37%	16	680	±3.8%
			50%	Ron Paul	39%	11
			51%	Mitt Romney	43%	8
Rasmussen Reports	April 23, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	45%	1	500	±4.5
Purple Poll	April 19–23, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	46%	2	1,705	±4.1%
Roanoke College	March 26 – April 5, 2012	Barack Obama	40%	Mitt Romney	46%	6	603	±4%
Quinnipiac	March 13–18, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	42%	8	1,034	±3.1%
			54%	Newt Gingrich	35%	19
			49%	Rick Santorum	40%	9
			49%	Ron Paul	39%	10
NBC News/Marist College	February 29 – March 2, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	35%	17	1,273/1,245	±2.8%
			57%	Newt Gingrich	31%	26
			54%	Rick Santorum	32%	22
			53%	Ron Paul	32%	21
Roanoke College	February 13–26, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Newt Gingrich	37%	11	607	±4%
			45%	Rick Santorum	39%	6
			45%	Ron Paul	35%	10
		Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	43%	1
Rasmussen Reports	February 21, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	43%	6	500	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	February 21, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Rick Santorum	43%	8	500	±4.5%
Christopher Newport University Richmond Times-Dispatch Muhlenberg College	February 4–13, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Newt Gingrich	40%	5	1,018	±3.1%
		Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	46%	2
		Barack Obama	42%	Rick Santorum	46%	4
		Barack Obama	43%	Ron Paul	43%	Tie
Quinnipiac	February 1–6, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	43%	4	1,544	±2.5%
			51%	Newt Gingrich	37%	14
			49%	Rick Santorum	41%	8
			47%	Ron Paul	40%	7
Quinnipiac	January 16–18, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	44%	1	625	±3.9%
Quinnipiac	January 16–18, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Newt Gingrich	38%	11	625	±3.9%

Three Way race

Poll source	Date	Democratic	%	Republican	%	Constitution Party	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	July 5–8, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	35%	Virgil Goode	9%	14	647	±3.9%
Public Policy Polling	April 26–29, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	38%	Virgil Goode	5%	12	680	±3.8%

Washington

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
SurveyUSA	August 2–3, 2012	Barack Obama	54%	Mitt Romney	37%	17	700	±4.4%
SurveyUSA	July 16–18, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	37%	9	630	±4%
Marquette Law School	June 13–16, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	43%	6	594	±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports	June 12, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	47%	3	500	±4.5%
We Ask America	June 6, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	43%	5	1,270	±2.75%
Public Policy Polling	June 14–17, 2012	Barack Obama	54%	Mitt Romney	41%	13	1,073	±3.0%
Elway	June 13–16, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	41%	8	408	±5%
SurveyUSA	May 8–9, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	36%	14	557	±4.2%
Public Policy Polling	February 16–19, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Newt Gingrich	35%	20	1,264	±2.76%
			53%	Mitt Romney	38%	15
			51%	Ron Paul	38%	13
			52%	Rick Santorum	40%	12
Survey USA	February 13–15, 2012	Barack Obama	56%	Newt Gingrich	34%	22	572	±4.2%
			50%	Mitt Romney	39%	11
			50%	Ron Paul	37%	13
			51%	Rick Santorum	38%	13

West Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
R.L. Repass	August 22–25, 2012	Barack Obama	38%	Mitt Romney	52%	14	401 LV	±4.9%
R.L. Repass	April 25–28, 2012	Barack Obama	37%	Mitt Romney	54%	17	410	±4.8%

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS	August 15–21, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	1,190 LV	±3%
Marquette University	August 16–19, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	576 LV	±4.2%
Public Policy Polling	August 16–19, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	1,308 LV	±2.7%
Rasmussen Reports	August 15, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	500 LV	±4.5%
CNN	August 13–14, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	45%	4	920 RV	±3.0%
Quinnipiac	July 31 – August 6, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	45%	6	1,691	±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports	July 25, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	500	±4.5%
We Ask America	July 17–18, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	42%	7	1,162	±2.93%
Marquette Law School	July 5–8, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	43%	8	810	±3.5%
Public Policy Polling	July 5–8, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	44%	6	1,057	±3.3%
Marquette Law School	May 23–26, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	43%	8	600	±%
St. Norbery College	May 17–22, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	43%	6	406	±5.0%
Daily Kos Wisconsin Poll	May 11–13, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	46%	1	851	±3.4%
Marquette Law School	May 9–12, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	46%	Tied	600	±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports	May 9, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	45%	4	500	±4.5%
Marquette University	April 26–29, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	42%	9	705	±3.8%
Public Policy Polling	April 13–15, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	44%	6	1,136	±2.9%
NBC News/Marist College	March 22–25, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	35%	17	1,391–1400	±2.6%
			51%	Rick Santorum	38%	13
			56%	Newt Gingrich	31%	25
			51%	Ron Paul	36%	15
Rasmussen Reports	March 27, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	41%	11	500	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	March 27, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Rick Santorum	39%	12	500	±4.5%
Marquette University	March 22–25, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	43%	5	707	±3.7%
			51%	Rick Santorum	39%	12
			53%	Newt Gingrich	36%	17
			50%	Ron Paul	40%	10
Rasmussen Reports	February 27, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	42%	5	500	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	February 27, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Rick Santorum	41%	5	500	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	February 23–26, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Newt Gingrich	37%	18	900	±3.27%
			53%	Ron Paul	37%	16
			53%	Mitt Romney	39%	14
			49%	Rick Santorum	43%	6
Marquette University	February 16–19, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	38%	15	716	±3.7%
			51%	Rick Santorum	40%	11
			56%	Newt Gingrich	33%	23
			52%	Ron Paul	36%	16
Marquette University	January 19–22, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	40%	8	701	±3.8%

Three Way race

Poll source	Date	Democratic candidate	%	Republican candidate	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Reason-Rupe	May 14–18, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	36%	Gary Johnson	6%	10	708	±3.7%

Notes

↑ The sample size for Obama vs Romney was 1,573, the sample size for Obama vs Gingrich was 1,573, the sample size for Obama vs Paul was 1,505 and the sample size for Obama vs Santorum was 1,505
↑ The sample size for Obama vs Gingrich was 527 with an MoE of ±4.27%, the sample size for Obama vs Romney was 529 with an MoE of ±4.26%, the sample size for Obama vs Santorum was 529 with an MoE of ±4.26% and the sample size for Obama vs Paul was 529 with an MoE of ±4.26%

(2008 ←) United States presidential election, 2012 (→ 2016)

Democratic Party

Incumbent nominee: Barack Obama
Incumbent VP nominee: Joe Biden
- positions

Republican Party

Nominee: Mitt Romney
VP nominee: Paul Ryan
- positions

Candidates: Michele Bachmann (campaign)
Herman Cain (campaign)
Jack Fellure
Newt Gingrich (campaign)
Stewart Greenleaf
Jon Huntsman (campaign)
Gary Johnson (campaign)
Fred Karger
Andy Martin
Thaddeus McCotter (campaign)
Jimmy McMillan
Roy Moore
Ron Paul (campaign)
Tim Pawlenty (campaign)
Rick Perry (campaign)
Buddy Roemer (campaign)
Rick Santorum (campaign)

Libertarian Party

Convention
Primaries

Nominee: Gary Johnson
- campaign
- positions
VP nominee: Jim Gray

Green Party

Convention

Nominee: Jill Stein (campaign)
VP nominee: Cheri Honkala

Other third-party and independent candidates

American Independent Party	Nominee Tom Hoefling Candidates Wiley Drake Virgil Goode (campaign) Edward C. Noonan Laurie Roth

American Third Position Party	Nominee Merlin Miller VP nominee Virginia Abernethy

America's Party	Nominee Tom Hoefling

Constitution Party Convention	Nominee Virgil Goode (campaign) VP nominee Jim Clymer Candidates Darrell Castle Laurie Roth Robby Wells

Freedom Socialist Party	Nominee Stephen Durham

Grassroots Party	Nominee Jim Carlson

Justice Party	Nominee Rocky Anderson VP nominee Luis J. Rodriguez

Objectivist Party	Nominee Tom Stevens

Party for Socialism and Liberation	Nominee Peta Lindsay

Peace and Freedom Party	Nominee Roseanne Barr VP nominee Cindy Sheehan Candidates Stewart Alexander Rocky Anderson Stephen Durham Peta Lindsay

Prohibition Party	Nominee Jack Fellure Candidates James Hedges

Reform Party	Nominee Andre Barnett Candidates Laurence Kotlikoff Darcy Richardson Buddy Roemer (campaign) Robert David Steele Robby Wells

Socialist Equality Party	Nominee Jerry White

Socialist Workers Party	Nominee James Harris

Socialist Party	Nominee Stewart Alexander (campaign) VP nominee Alejandro Mendoza

Independents	Candidates Lee Abramson Randy Blythe Jeff Boss Robert Burck Terry Jones Joe Schriner

Draft movements	Michael Bloomberg (movement)

State results

Other 2012 elections: House
Senate
Gubernatorial

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Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012

See also

Notes