Canarian parliamentary election, 2015

24 May 2015

All 60 seats in the Parliament of Canarias 31 seats needed for a majority

Opinion polls
Registered	1,661,272 5.1%
Turnout	931,876 (56.1%) 2.8 pp
	First party	Second party	Third party

Leader	Patricia Hernández	Australia Navarro	Fernando Clavijo
Party	PSOE	PP	CC
Leader since	19 October 2014	6 March 2015	12 September 2014
Last election	15 seats, 21.0%	21 seats, 31.9%	21 seats, 24.9%
Seats won	15	12	18
Seat change	±0	9	3
Popular vote	182,006	170,129	166,979
Percentage	19.9%	18.6%	18.2%
Swing	1.1 pp	13.3 pp	6.7 pp

	Fourth party	Fifth party	Sixth party

Leader	Noemí Santana	Román Rodríguez	Casimiro Curbelo
Party	Podemos	NC	ASG
Leader since	1 April 2015	26 February 2005	6 March 2015
Last election	Did not contest	3 seats, 9.1%	Did not contest
Seats won	7	5	3
Seat change	7	2	3
Popular vote	133,044	93,634	5,090
Percentage	14.5%	10.2%	0.6%
Swing	New party	1.1 pp	New party

President before election

Paulino Rivero
CC

Elected President

Fernando Clavijo
CC

The 2015 Canarian parliamentary election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 9th Canarian Parliament, the unicameral regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of the Canary Islands. At stake were all 60 seats in the Parliament, determining the President of the Canary Islands.

The election was held concurrently with the regional elections for 12 other autonomous communities, as well as the 2015 municipal elections.

Electoral system

The 60 members of the Canarian Parliament are elected in 7 multi-member districts using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system. Unlike other regions, districts do not coincide with provincial limits, being determined by law for each of the main islands to become a district of its own. The electoral system came regulated under the Autonomous Statute of Autonomy. Each district is assigned a fixed set of seats, distributed as follows: El Hierro (3), Fuerteventura (7), Gran Canaria (15), La Gomera (4), La Palma (8), Lanzarote (8) and Tenerife (15).

Voting is on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 30% of the total vote in each district, being the most voted in a district or polling above 6% in all of the community (which include blank ballots—for none of the above) are entitled to enter the seat distribution.^[1]

Opinion polls

Vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PP	CC	PSOE	NC	UPyD	IU	C's	P	ASG	Oth.	Lead
Date	Polling Firm/Source										Oth.	Lead
24 May 2015	Regional Election	18.6	18.2	19.9	10.2	0.9	2.2	5.9	14.5	0.6	9.0	1.3
Exit polls
17 May	NC-Report	20.9	19.2	17.8	8.9			9.2	12.5		11.5	1.7
16 May	HM&AI^{[lower-alpha 1]}	18.2	18.9	17.9	8.5			8.4	13.7	0.3	14.1	0.7
4–14 May	Perfiles^{[lower-alpha 2]}	20.5	20.5	18.5	9.5			9.5	9.5	0.5	11.5	0.0
20 Apr	Focus	20.5	23.6	19.3	7.4		4.7	7.0	12.1		5.4	3.1
7–20 Apr	Perfiles^{[lower-alpha 2]}	19.5	18.5	18.5	7.5			10.5	10.5	0.5	14.5	1.0
23 Mar–19 Apr	CIS	20.8	18.9	20.4	5.2	0.7	4.1	10.7	15.8		3.4	0.4
26 Mar–9 Apr	TSA	19.7	18.9	18.4	11.9			9.3	11.1	0.5	10.2	0.8
23 Mar–9 Apr	NC-Report	22.2	20.2	18.2	8.9			7.1	11.8		11.6	2.0
2015
4–14 Aug	Celeste-Tel^{[lower-alpha 1]}	23.1	20.5	17.5	10.0	1.1	1.9		12.8		13.1	2.6
25 May 2014	EP Election	23.4	12.2	22.2	N/A	6.9	10.5	1.4	11.0		12.4	1.2
5–16 Apr	Celeste-Tel^{[lower-alpha 1]}	24.2	23.6	20.4	12.6	3.0	3.6				12.6	0.6
23 Feb	Demométrica	23.3	24.9	22.7	10.0		6.3				12.8	1.6
2014
7 Dec	Focus	20.5	22.4	20.0			11.3				25.8	1.9
2–5 Dec	HM&AI^{[lower-alpha 1]}	28.2	22.6	19.0	11.0	2.6	3.3				13.3	5.6
15 Apr–10 May	NC-Report	27.6	26.7	19.7							26.0	0.9
2013
2012
20 Nov 2011	General Election	48.0	15.5	24.9	w.CC	2.6	4.3				4.7	23.1
22 May 2011	Regional Election	31.9	24.9	21.0	9.1	1.0	0.8				11.3	7.0

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 31 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Canarias.

31 seats needed for majority
Date	Polling Firm/Source	PP	CC	PSOE	NC	UPyD	IU	C's	P	ASG	Others
Date	Polling Firm/Source										Others
24 May 2015	Regional Election	12	18	15	5	0	0	0	7	3	0
Exit polls
17 May	NC-Report	12 / 13	14 / 16	12 / 13	4 / 5	0	0	5 / 6	8 / 9	1 / 2	0
16 May	HM&AI	11 / 14	15 / 18	13 / 14	4	0	0	3 / 6	6 / 8	1 / 2	0
4–14 May	Perfiles	11 / 14	16 / 19	13 / 16	3 / 5	0	0	3 / 7	5 / 6	2 / 3	0
20 Apr	Focus	12 / 14	17 / 22	13 / 15	3 / 5	0	0	2	6 / 8	0	0
7–20 Apr	Perfiles	13 / 15	17	13 / 15	3 / 5	0	0	5 / 7	6	0	0
23 Mar–19 Apr	CIS	12 / 14	17	15 / 16	0	0	0	4 / 5	10	0	0
26 Mar–9 Apr	TSA	11 / 14	14 / 17	11 / 14	5 / 7	0	0	5 / 6	5 / 6	1	0
23 Mar–9 Apr	NC-Report	13 / 14	15 / 17	12 / 13	5 / 6	0	0	4 / 5	7 / 8	1 / 2	0
2015
6 Dec	HM&AI	14 / 15	17 / 19	13 / 14	4 / 6	0	0	0	8 / 9		0
4–14 Aug	Celeste-Tel	15	18	14	6	0	0	0	7		0
5–16 Apr	Celeste-Tel	16	21	17	6	0	0	0	0		0
23 Feb	Demométrica	13	21	17	6	0	3	0	0		0
2014
7 Dec	Focus	14	19	17	4	0	6	0			0
2–5 Dec	HM&AI	20	20	14 / 15	5 / 6	0	0	0			0
15 Oct–12 Nov	NC-Report	17 / 18	23 / 25	14 / 15	3 / 4	0	1 / 2	0			0
15 Apr–10 May	NC-Report	18 / 19	22 / 24	14 / 15	3 / 4	0	1 / 2	0			0
2013
2012
22 May 2011	Regional Election	21	21	15	3	0	0				0

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 24 May 2015 Canarian Parliament election results
Party		Vote			Seats

Party		Votes	%	±pp	Won	+/−
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)	182,006	19.89	1.09	15	±0
	People's Party (PP)	170,129	18.59	13.35	12	9
	Canarian Coalition-Canarian Nationalist Party (CC-PNC)	166,979	18.25	6.69	18	3
	We Can (Podemos)	133,044	14.54	New	7	7
	New Canaries (NC)	93,634	10.23	1.16	5	2

	Citizens-Party of the Citizenry (C's)	54,375	5.94	New	0	±0
	Nationalist Canarian Centre-United (CCN-Unidos)	32,868	3.59	New	0	±0
	Canaries Decides (IUC-LV-UP-ALTER)	20,155	2.20	0.76	0	±0
	Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA)	11,296	1.23	0.93	0	±0
	Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)	7,819	0.85	0.15	0	±0
	Canarian Nationalist Alternative (ANC)	5,635	0.62	0.12	0	±0
	Gomera Socialist Group (ASG)	5,090	0.56	New	3	3
	More for Telde (MxT)	3,390	0.37	New	0	±0
	Communist Party of the Canarian People (PCPC-PCPE)	1,861	0.20	0.06	0	±0
	For a Fairer World (PUM+J)	1,827	0.20	0.04	0	±0
	Vox (VOX)	1,814	0.20	New	0	±0
	Movement for the Canarian People's Unity (MUPC)	1,777	0.19	0.05	0	±0
	Zero Cuts (Recortes Cero)	1,498	0.16	New	0	±0
	Fuerteventura Municipal Assemblies (AMF)	1,447	0.16	New	0	±0
	Blank Seats (Eb)	1,363	0.15	New	0	±0
	Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn)	330	0.04	New	0	±0
	Blank ballots	16,769	1.83	0.93

Total		915,106	100.00		60	±0

Valid votes		915,106	98.20	0.89
Invalid votes		16,770	1.80	0.89
Votes cast / turnout		931,876	56.09	2.82
Abstentions		729,396	43.91	2.82
Registered voters		1,661,272

Source(s): Parliament of Canarias Argos Information Portal

Vote share

PSOE			19.89%
PP			18.59%
CC-PNC			18.25%
Podemos			14.54%
NC			10.23%
C's			5.94%
CCN-Unidos			3.59%
IUC-LV-UP-ALTER			2.20%
PACMA			1.23%
ASG			0.56%
Others			3.14%
Blank ballots			1.83%

Parliamentary seats

CC-PNC			30.00%
PSOE			25.00%
PP			20.00%
Podemos			11.67%
NC			8.33%
ASG			5.00%

Notes

1 2 3 4 This survey shows its poll results projected over candidacy votes (that is, votes going for political parties, excluding blank ballots). The vote percentage in the official election is calculated including blank ballots into the estimation. In order to obtain data comparable to both the official results as well as those of other surveys, a rule of three has been applied to the survey projections, with the results of the calculation being shown instead.
1 2 This poll provides data ranges and/or approximations. In order to simplify, the average of these data is given.

References

↑ "Organic Law 10/1982, of 10 August, of the Statute of Autonomy of Canarias".

Elections in the Canary Islands

Parliamentary elections	1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2015 next

General elections	1977 1979 1982 1986 1989 1993 1996 2000 2004 2008 2011 2015 2016 next

Regional elections in Spain in the 2010s

2010	November: Catalonia

2011	May: Aragon Asturias Balearic Islands Canary Islands Cantabria Castile and León Castile-La Mancha Ceuta Extremadura La Rioja Madrid Melilla Murcia Navarre Valencian Community

2012	March: Andalusia Asturias October: Basque Country Galicia November: Catalonia

2015	March: Andalusia May: Aragon Asturias Balearic Islands Canary Islands Cantabria Castile and León Castile-La Mancha Ceuta Extremadura La Rioja Madrid Melilla Murcia Navarre Valencian Community September: Catalonia

2016	September: Basque Country Galicia

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