Basque parliamentary election, 2016
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The 2016 Basque parliamentary election will be held on Sunday, 25 September 2016, to elect the 11th Basque Parliament, the regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of the Basque Country. All 75 seats in the Parliament will be up for election. The election was held simultaneously with a regional election in Galicia.
Lehendakari Iñigo Urkullu announced the election would be held one month ahead of schedule, on September 2016, as a result of the ongoing "climate of ungovernability" affecting the national government so as to move the regional election away from a possible new general election and from the speculation surrounding the government formation process.[1] In a domino effect, this prompted Galician President Alberto Núñez Feijóo to also set the Galician regional election, scheduled for autumn 2016, for the same date.[2]
Electoral system
The 75 members of the Basque Parliament are elected in 3 multi-member districtsces using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system. Each district is assigned a fixed number of 25 seats. Only party lists polling above 3% of valid votes in each district (which include blank ballots—for none of the above) are entitled to enter the seat distribution.[3] Owing to large discrepancies in population between the three provinces, each of the 25 elected members in Álava represents around 6,000 electors, while in the more populous Biscay each of the 25 elected members represents over 20,000 electors.[4]
Background
On 1 March 2016, Sortu Secretary-General Arnaldo Otegi left the Logroño prison after serving his full prison sentence imposed for attempting to reorganize the banned Batasuna party. In addition to the prison sentence, Otegi had been sentenced to disqualification from holding any public office until 2021.[5] Despite this, on 24 May the EH Bildu coalition proclaimed him as its candidate for lehendakari, on grounds that the ruling did not specify what specific charges affected his disqualification.[6] After the official announcement of elections for 25 September, the various parties began to express their opinions on the issue.
The Basque Nationalist Party and Podemos announced that they would challenge his candidacy because they thought it should be up to the Basque citizens to decide whether Otegi deserved to be elected or not;[7] the Socialist Party of the Basque Country, meanwhile, said that it would not challenge him neither because the decision should be taken by justice.[8] The People's Party, Citizens and Union, Progress and Democracy announced that, following the publication of electoral lists, they would go to the prosecution to challenge Otegi's candidacy.[9]
On August 24 the Gipuzkoa Provincial Electoral Board ruled that Otegi could not be a candidate in the lists of EH Bildu for being barred to stand for election as part of his sentence.[10] The journalist Maddalen Iriarte, who was second in EH Bildu Gipuzkoa's list, went on to top the list as provided for in Article 65.2 of the Electoral Law of the Basque Country.[11]
Campaign
Parties, leaders and slogans
Party/alliance | Leader/candidate | Campaign slogan(s) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV) | Iñigo Urkullu | "Build the Basque Country. Look to the future"[12] | ||
Basque Country Unite (EH Bildu) | Arnaldo Otegi Maddalen Iriarte |
"Here and now. A shared country"[12] | ||
Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE (PSOE)) | Idoia Mendia | "Together"[12] | ||
People's Party of the Basque Country (PP) | Alfonso Alonso | "Alonso, the voice that unites us"[12] | ||
United We Can (Podemos–IU–eQuo) (Elkarrekin Podemos) | Pilar Zabala | "For the Basque Country. With the people"[12] | ||
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) | Nicolás de Miguel | "Europeans from the South, Spaniards from the North, Basques of centre"[12] |
Opinion polling
Party vote
Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork/ publication date |
Sample size |
TO | Lead | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Regional Election | 25.09.16 | N/A | 59.8% | 37.7 | 21.2 | 11.9 | 10.2 | — | — | — | 14.8 | 2.0 | 16.5 |
Gizaker | 23.09.16–25.09.16 | 2,400 | ? | 36.5 | 20.7 | 11.1 | 9.7 | — | — | — | 17.9 | 2.2 | 15.8 |
Celeste-Tel | 12.09.16–16.09.16 | 1,200 | 64.1% | 37.3 | 20.4 | 11.9 | 8.4 | — | — | — | 18.3 | 2.0 | 16.9 |
Gizaker | 14.09.16–15.09.16 | 1,200 | 64.4% | 37.2 | 21.0 | 11.0 | 9.7 | — | — | — | 17.8 | 2.3 | 16.2 |
GAD3 | 14.09.16–15.09.16 | 801 | ? | 38.5 | 19.7 | 10.8 | 9.2 | — | — | — | 17.8 | — | 18.8 |
Metroscopia | 13.09.16–15.09.16 | 2,100 | 65.8% | 36.3 | 19.2 | 12.1 | 8.8 | — | — | — | 17.9 | 2.0 | 17.1 |
Sigma Dos | 12.09.16–15.09.16 | 1,200 | ? | 35.1 | 21.1 | 12.5 | 9.5 | — | — | — | 16.9 | 2.1 | 14.0 |
NC Report | 06.09.16–14.09.16 | 1,000 | ? | 36.2 | 21.0 | 11.4 | 9.1 | — | — | — | 18.8 | — | 15.2 |
Ikerfel | 08.09.16–11.09.16 | 2,700 | 65.4% | 36.7 | 18.9 | 12.9 | 8.8 | — | — | — | 19.3 | 2.2 | 17.4 |
Ikertalde | 01.09.16–08.09.16 | 2,576 | 64.7% | 33.5 | 21.3 | 11.7 | 9.2 | — | — | — | 19.3 | 2.2 | 12.2 |
Gizaker | 05.09.16–06.09.16 | 1,200 | 63.5% | 36.2 | 20.7 | 10.7 | 10.3 | — | — | — | 18.2 | 2.7 | 15.5 |
CIS/IMOP | 27.08.16–02.09.16 | 3,007 | ? | 37.9 | 20.2 | 10.8 | 8.8 | — | — | — | 18.9 | 1.8 | 17.7 |
General Election | 26.06.16 | N/A | 64.9% | 24.9 | 13.3 | 14.2 | 12.9 | — | 0.1 | — | 29.1 | 3.5 | 4.2 |
Gizaker | 08.06.16–09.06.16 | 1,200 | ? | 37.2 | 21.3 | 10.7 | 9.1 | — | 0.4 | — | 18.2 | 2.7 | 15.9 |
Ikertalde | 23.05.16–02.06.16 | 2,310 | 67.5% | 31.8 | 21.0 | 12.3 | 8.7 | — | 0.2 | — | 20.8 | 2.2 | 10.8 |
Ikertalde | 23.05.16–02.06.16 | 2,310 | 67.5% | 31.8 | 21.0 | 12.3 | 8.7 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 17.8 | — | 2.2 | 10.8 |
SYM Consulting | 05.05.16–20.05.16 | 1,274 | ? | 34.1 | 20.4 | 11.8 | 9.1 | — | — | — | 20.7 | 3.5 | 13.4 |
Gizaker | 11.05.16–12.05.16 | 1,200 | ? | 35.5 | 20.2 | 11.0 | 9.2 | — | 0.2 | — | 19.4 | 3.0 | 15.3 |
Gizaker | 13.04.16–14.04.16 | 1,200 | ? | 35.3 | 19.0 | 12.1 | 8.8 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 19.1 | — | 2.3 | 16.2 |
Ikertalde | 25.01.16–02.02.16 | 2,310 | 70.5% | 31.3 | 19.1 | 12.0 | 8.8 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 20.5 | — | 3.3 | 10.8 |
UPV/EHU | 19.01.16–31.01.16 | 600 | 67% | 29.3 | 16.3 | 12.2 | 9.4 | — | — | 25.2 | — | 3.6 | 4.1 |
Redondo & Asociados | 16.01.16 | ? | ? | 30.0 | 19.0 | 12.8 | 8.3 | 3.0 | — | 25.0 | — | — | 5.0 |
General Election | 20.12.15 | N/A | 69.0% | 24.7 | 15.1 | 13.2 | 11.6 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 26.0 | — | 4.1 | 1.3 |
UPV/EHU | 29.05.15–15.06.15 | 600 | 65% | 33.5 | 23.1 | 14.5 | 8.1 | — | 1.7 | 15.1 | — | — | 10.4 |
JJGG Election | 24.05.15 | N/A | 63.8% | 33.3 | 22.4 | 13.6 | 9.3 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 13.7 | — | 2.1 | 10.9 |
Municipal Elections | 24.05.15 | N/A | 63.8% | 33.1 | 23.4 | 14.6 | 9.4 | 3.1 | 0.1 | — | — | 1.6 | 9.7 |
UPV/EHU | 27.10.14–14.11.14 | 600 | 67% | 30.5 | 19.7 | 12.8 | 8.1 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 25.6 | — | — | 4.9 |
EP Election | 25.05.14 | N/A | 43.1% | 27.5 | 23.4 | 13.8 | 10.2 | 5.6 | 3.3 | 6.9 | — | 0.8 | 4.1 |
UPV/EHU | 30.04.14–19.05.14 | 600 | 60% | 34.2 | 23.9 | 16.5 | 8.1 | 6.4 | 2.2 | 4.8 | — | — | 10.3 |
UPV/EHU | 24.10.13–15.11.13 | 1,200 | 60% | 34.9 | 25.9 | 15.5 | 9.6 | 4.4 | 2.2 | — | — | — | 9.0 |
Ikertalde | 08.10.13–11.10.13 | 2,289 | 64.0% | 34.7 | 24.1 | 17.7 | 10.8 | 3.1 | 2.3 | — | — | — | 10.6 |
UPV/EHU | 07.05.13–27.05.13 | 1,200 | 60% | 34 | 24 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | 10 |
Ikertalde | 22.04.13–27.04.13 | 2,277 | 63.5% | 34.9 | 24.2 | 17.8 | 10.0 | 3.1 | 2.5 | — | — | — | 10.7 |
Regional Election | 21.10.12 | N/A | 64.0% | 34.2 | 24.7 | 18.9 | 11.6 | 2.7 | 1.9 | — | — | — | 9.5 |
Seat projections
Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 38 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Basque Parliament.
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork/ publication date |
||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Regional Election | 25.09.16 | 28 | 18 | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | 11 | 0 | |||
Gizaker | 23.09.16–25.09.16 | 27/30 | 16/18 | 8/10 | 7/8 | — | — | — | 13/15 | 0/1 | |||
Celeste-Tel | 12.09.16–16.09.16 | 29 | 15 | 9 | 7 | — | — | — | 15 | 0 | |||
Gizaker | 14.09.16–15.09.16 | 27/29 | 17 | 8/9 | 7/8 | — | — | — | 13/14 | 0/1 | |||
GAD3 | 14.09.16–15.09.16 | 28/29 | 15/16 | 8/9 | 8/9 | — | — | — | 14/15 | 0 | |||
Metroscopia | 13.09.16–15.09.16 | 27/29 | 16/17 | 8 | 6/7 | — | — | — | 14/16 | 1 | |||
Sigma Dos | 12.09.16–15.09.16 | 26/28 | 17/18 | 9 | 8 | — | — | — | 13/14 | 0 | |||
NC Report | 06.09.16–14.09.16 | 27 | 16 | 9 | 8 | — | — | — | 15 | 0 | |||
Ikerfel | 08.09.16–11.09.16 | 28 | 14/15 | 9/10 | 8 | — | — | — | 15/16 | 0 | |||
Ikertalde | 01.09.16–08.09.16 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 8 | — | — | — | 15 | 0 | |||
Gizaker | 05.09.16–06.09.16 | 27 | 17 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | 14 | 1 | |||
CIS/IMOP | 27.08.16–02.09.16 | 27/28 | 16 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | 15/16 | 0 | |||
General Election | 26.06.16 | (18) | (10) | (11) | (10) | — | (0) | — | (25) | (1) | |||
Gizaker | 08.06.16–09.06.16 | 27 | 17 | 8 | 8 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 | |||
Ikertalde | 23.05.16–02.06.16 | 24 | 17 | 9 | 7 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 | |||
Ikertalde | 23.05.16–02.06.16 | 24 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 14 | — | 1 | |||
Gizaker | 11.05.16–12.05.16 | 27 | 16 | 9 | 7 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 | |||
Gizaker | 13.04.16–14.04.16 | 27 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 15 | — | 1 | |||
Ikertalde | 25.01.16–02.02.16 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 18 | — | 1 | |||
UPV/EHU | 19.01.16–31.01.16 | 22/23 | 13 | 9 | 8/9 | 0 | 0 | 19/21 | — | 1/3 | |||
Redondo & Asociados | 16.01.16 | 22/23 | 13/14 | 10 | 6 | 0/1 | 0 | 21/22 | — | 0 | |||
General Election | 20.12.15 | (18) | (12) | (10) | (10) | (1) | (0) | (21) | — | (3) | |||
UPV/EHU | 29.05.15–15.06.15 | 25/26 | 18/19 | 10/11 | 7/8 | 0 | 0 | 11/12 | — | 0 | |||
JJGG Election | 24.05.15 | (26) | (18) | (10) | (9) | (1) | (0) | (11) | — | (0) | |||
UPV/EHU | 27.10.14–14.11.14 | 22/23 | 13/14 | 10 | 6 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 21/22 | — | 0 | |||
EP Election | 25.05.14 | (21) | (21) | (12) | (10) | (4) | (1) | (6) | — | (0) | |||
UPV/EHU | 30.04.14–19.05.14 | 29 | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | — | |||
UPV/EHU | 24.10.13–15.11.13 | 29 | 23 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | |||
Ikertalde | 08.10.13–11.10.13 | 27 | 21 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | |||
UPV/EHU | 07.05.13–27.05.13 | 28 | 20 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | |||
Ikertalde | 22.04.13–27.04.13 | 27 | 21 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | |||
Regional Election | 21.10.12 | 27 | 21 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 1 | — | — | — | |||
Results
Overall
Party | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | ±pp | Won | +/− | ||
Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV) | 398,168 | 37.36 | +3.20 | 28 | +1 | |
Basque Country Unite (EH Bildu) | 225,172 | 21.13 | –3.54 | 18 | –3 | |
United We Can (Podemos–IU–eQuo) (Elkarrekin Podemos)[lower-alpha 1] | 157,334 | 14.76 | +11.04 | 11 | +11 | |
Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE (PSOE)) | 126,420 | 11.86 | –7.03 | 9 | –7 | |
People's Party of the Basque Country (PP) | 107,771 | 10.11 | –1.48 | 9 | –1 | |
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) | 21,477 | 2.02 | New | 0 | ±0 |
Parties with less than 1.0% of the vote | 22,559 | 2.12 | — | 0 | –1 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA/ATTKAA) | 8,589 | 0.81 | +0.45 | 0 | ±0 | |
Let's Win the Basque Country: Yes We Can (Ganemos Irabazi) | 6,049 | 0.57 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Zero Cuts–Green Group (Recortes Cero–GV) | 2,747 | 0.26 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Family and Life Party (PFyV) | 1,836 | 0.17 | +0.10 | 0 | ±0 | |
Blank Seats (EB/AZ) | 1,288 | 0.12 | –0.90 | 0 | ±0 | |
Vox (Vox) | 771 | 0.07 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Basque Communists–Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (EK–PCPE) | 466 | 0.04 | ±0.00 | 0 | ±0 | |
Welcome (Ongi Etorri) | 374 | 0.04 | +0.03 | 0 | ±0 | |
Humanist Party (PH) | 351 | 0.03 | –0.07 | 0 | ±0 | |
Navarrese Freedom (Ln) | 191 | 0.02 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) | N/A | N/A | –1.91 | 0 | –1 |
Blank ballots | 6,681 | 0.63 | –0.67 | |||
Total | 1,065,685 | 100.00 | 75 | ±0 | ||
Valid votes | 1,065,685 | 99.56 | +0.37 | |||
Invalid votes | 4,672 | 0.44 | –0.37 | |||
Votes cast / turnout | 1,070,357 | 60.02 | –3.94 | |||
Abstentions | 713,062 | 39.98 | +3.94 | |||
Registered voters | 1,783,419 | |||||
Source: Election Results | ||||||
Results by district
District | PNV | EHB | EP | PSE–EE | PP | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | |
Álava | 28.0 | 8 | 17.8 | 5 | 16.1 | 4 | 12.9 | 3 | 18.5 | 5 |
Biscay | 41.8 | 11 | 17.5 | 5 | 14.8 | 4 | 11.7 | 3 | 9.7 | 2 |
Gipuzkoa | 34.0 | 9 | 28.7 | 8 | 14.2 | 3 | 11.8 | 3 | 7.2 | 2 |
Total | 37.6 | 28 | 21.3 | 18 | 14.9 | 11 | 11.9 | 9 | 10.2 | 9 |
Aftermath
Investiture vote
Choice | Vote | ||
---|---|---|---|
Parties | Votes | ||
Iñigo Urkullu | PNV (28), PSE–EE (9) | 37 / 75 | |
Maddalen Iriarte | EH Bildu (18) | 18 / 75 | |
Blank ballots | EP (11), PP (9) | 20 / 75 | |
Source: Historia Electoral |
Choice | Vote | ||
---|---|---|---|
Parties | Votes | ||
Iñigo Urkullu | PNV (28), PSE–EE (9) | 37 / 75 | |
Maddalen Iriarte | EH Bildu (18) | 18 / 75 | |
Blank ballots | EP (11), PP (9) | 20 / 75 | |
Source: Historia Electoral |
See also
References
- ↑ "Urkullu moves forward the Basque election to 25 September" (in Spanish). El Mundo. 2016-07-29.
- ↑ "Feijóo sets the Galician election for 25 September" (in Spanish). El País. 2016-08-01.
- ↑ "Law 5/1990, of 15 June, of elections to the Basque Parliament.".
- ↑ Álvarez-Rivera, Manuel. "Election Resources on the Internet: Elections to the Basque Parliament". Election Resources.org. Election Resources.
- ↑ "Arnaldo Otegi leaves the Logroño prison after six and a half years imprisoned" (in Spanish). El País. 2016-03-01.
- ↑ "EH Bildu membership chooses Otegi as lehendakari candidate" (in Spanish). El País. 2016-05-24.
- ↑ "Prosecutors emphasize that Otegi is "ineligible"" (in Spanish). El País. 2016-08-12.
- ↑ "The PSE–EE will not challenge Otegi's candidacy" (in Spanish). El Mundo. 2016-08-11.
- ↑ "PP, UPyD and C's will challenge Otegi's list in defense of the victims of terrorism" (in Spanish). El Mundo. 2016-08-09.
- ↑ "The Board ratifies that Otegi cannot be candidate and bars him from contesting the Basque election" (in Spanish). Europa Press. 2016-08-29.
- ↑ "The Electoral Board rules that Otegi cannot be candidate for being disqualified" (in Spanish). El País. 2016-08-24.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 "PNV, Elkarrekin Podemos and C's open campaign in Vitoria, EH Bildu and PSE in Bilbao and the PP in San Sebastián" (in Spanish). 20 Minutos. 2016-09-08.