National Assembly for Wales election, 2021

6 May 2021

All 60 seats to the National Assembly for Wales 31 seats needed for a majority

	First party	Second party	Third party

Leader	Carwyn Jones	Leanne Wood	Andrew R. T. Davies
Party	Labour	Plaid Cymru	Conservative
Leader since	10 December 2009	16 March 2012	14 July 2011
Leader's seat	Bridgend	Rhondda	South Wales Central
Last election	29 seats	12 seats	11 seats

	Fourth party	Fifth party

Leader	Neil Hamilton	Mark Williams^{[n 1]}
Party	UKIP	Liberal Democrats
Leader since	September 2016	8 May 2016
Leader's seat	Mid & West Wales	N/A
Last election	7 seats	1 seat

First Minister before election

Carwyn Jones
Labour-Liberal Democrat coalition

Elected First Minister

TBD

Wales

This article is part of a series on the politics and government of Wales
Government First Minister Carwyn Jones AM Cabinet 8th ministry Counsel General Theodore Huckle QC Home Civil Service Directorates Sponsored bodies Local government
National Assembly Presiding Officer Elin Jones AM Acts Statutory Instruments Leader of the Opposition Leanne Wood AM Shadow Cabinet Members (AMs) Elections Constituencies and electoral regions
Law and justice Supreme Court (UK) Courts of England and Wales Welsh law English law
Wales in the UK HM Government Wales Office Secretary of State Alun Cairns MP UK Parliament Grand Committee Select Committee Government of Wales Act 2006 Elections Constituencies Current Westminster MPs
Wales in the EU European Parliament elections Constituency
Administrative divisions Preserved counties Principal areas Communities Local government
Other countries Atlas

The next National Assembly for Wales election is due to be held on Thursday 6 May 2021^[1] to elect 60 members to the Welsh Assembly. It would be the sixth general election since the assembly was established in 1999.

Five parties had AMs in the fifth Assembly: Welsh Labour led by First Minister Carwyn Jones, Plaid Cymru led by Leanne Wood, Welsh Conservatives led by Andrew R. T. Davies, UKIP Wales led by Neil Hamilton, and the Welsh Liberal Democrats, led by Mark Williams.

Electoral method

In general elections for the National Assembly for Wales, each voter has two votes in a mixed member system. The first vote is for a candidate to become the Assembly Member for the voter's constituency, elected by the first past the post system. The second vote is for a regional closed party list of candidates. Additional member seats are allocated from the lists by the d'Hondt method, with constituency results being taken into account in the allocation. The overall result is approximately proportional.

In accordance to the Wales Act 2014, a candidate is allowed to stand in both a constituency, as well as a regional list. But, dual mandates with the House of Commons is illegal, meaning an Assembly Member can not also be an MP.

Opinion polls

Constituency Vote (FPTP)

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Cons	Plaid	UKIP	Lib Dem	Others	Lead
18-21 September 2016	Welsh Political Barometer	1,001	34%	24%	20%	13%	6%	3%	10%
30 June - 4 July 2016	Welsh Political Barometer	1,010	32%	19%	23%	16%	7%	3%	9%
30 May - 2 June 2016	Welsh Political Barometer	1,017	34%	18%	23%	15%	7%	3%	11%
5 May 2016	National Assembly for Wales election, 2016 (constituency)	1,013,383	34.7%	21.1%	20.5%	12.5%	7.7%	2.8%	13.6%

Regional Vote (AMS)

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Plaid	Cons	UKIP	Lib Dem	Green	Others	Lead
18-21 September 2016	Welsh Political Barometer	1,001	29%	21%	22%	13%	6%	3%	7%	7%
30 June - 4 July 2016	Welsh Political Barometer	1,010	29%	24%	18%	15%	6%	4%	6%	5%
30 May - 2 June 2016	Welsh Political Barometer	1,017	32%	21%	18%	14%	6%	4%	4%	11%
5 May 2016	National Assembly for Wales election, 2016 (regional)	1,005,541	31.5%	20.8%	18.8%	13.0%	6.5%	3.0%	5.6%	10.7%

Footnotes

↑ Mark Williams sits as an MP in Westminster

References

↑ "Wales Bill (Dates)" (PDF). publications.parliament.uk. Retrieved 7 Oct 2016.

Elections and referendums in Wales

National Assembly elections	1999 2003 2007 2011 2016 2021

Local elections	2008 2012 2017

Referendums	1979 1997 2011

See also: Elections in England (1264–1705) Great Britain (1707–1800) United Kingdom

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