Opinion polling for the Ukrainian parliamentary election, 2019
In the run up to the 2019 Ukrainian parliamentary elections, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Ukraine. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, to the present day. The next general election is scheduled to be held not later than 2019, though it may be held earlier if a snap election is called.
Poll results
Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.
Note: Saakashvili Block refers to the anti-corruption NGO Movement for Purification led by Mikheil Saakashvili, Saakashvili stated he did not have the intention to create a new political party[1] until on 11 November 2016 Saakashvili announced his goal to create a new political force.[2] This new party will be called Wave.[3]
| Polling Firm/Link | Last Date of Polling |
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 |
Decided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | 10.11.16 — 17.11.16 | 17,4 | 12,6 | 7,4 | 11,1 | 6,2 | 8,4 | 6,1 | 5,6 | 3,1 | 1,1 | 59 | |
| Ukrainian Nastup | 14.11.16 — 20.11.16 | 17,5 | 6 | 3,5 | 9 | 12,5 | 6 | 9,5 | 3,5 | 4,5 | 9,5 | 1,5 | 47 |
| Razumkov Centre | 04.11.16 — 09.11.16 | 14,5 | 15,8 | 10,6 | 12,6 | 6 | 7,5 | 3,7 | 5 | 2,5 | 1,5 | 64 | |
| KIIS | 04.11.16 — 13.11.16 | 19,1 | 13,2 | 2,3 | 6 | 10,1 | 8,1 | 9 | 5,5 | 6,1 | 3 | 0,9 | 44 |
| Rating | 28.09.16 — 07.10.16 | 16,6 | 12,9 | 9,2 | 10,9 | 6,1 | 11,2 | 6,5 | 6,6 | 2 | 0,9 | 61 | |
| Ukrainian Nastup | 12.09.16 — 31.09.16 | 16 | 9,5 | 3 | 10,5 | 12,5 | 5,5 | 10,5 | 6,5 | 4,5 | 4 | 1 | 46,8 |
| KIIS | 16.09.16 — 26.09.16 | 15,4 | 14,5 | 10,3 | 13,1 | 5,3 | 9,6 | 3,9 | 6 | 1,9 | 1 | 46,6 | |
| Polling Firm/Link | Last Date of Polling |
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"Wave" [4] | |
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 [5] |
Decided | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | 28.09.16 — 07.10.16 | 16,6 | 12,9 | 9,2 | 10,9 | 2 | 11,2 | 6,5 | 6,6 | - | 0,9 | 61 | 23,2 |
| Ukrainian Nastup | 12.09.16 — 31.09.16 | 16 | 9,5 | 10,5 | 12,5 | 4 | 10,5 | 6,5 | 4,5 | - | 0,5 | 46,8 | |
| KIIS | 16.09.16 — 26.09.16 | 15,4 | 14,5 | 10,3 | 13,1 | 1,9 | 9,6 | 3,9 | 6,0 | - | 1,0 | 41 | 24,5 |
| Average last 5 polls | 09.2016 | 17,3 | 12,5 | 12,2 | 13,3 | 5,3 | 10,8 | 6,1 | 2,2 | 0,2 | 0,5 | - | - |
| CSI Sofia | 26.08.16 - 05.09.16 | 14,4 | 15,0 | 9,0 | 15,6 | 6,8 | 9,4 | 5,1 | 3,7 | 1,2 | 0,6 | 55,1 | 19,2 |
| Rating | 18.08.16 — 23.08.16 | 18,3 | 9,1 | 11 | 12,6 | 3,1 | 11 | 5,6 | 3,8 | - | 0,2 | 58,5 | 25,3 |
| Ukrainian Nastup | 04.07.16 — 22.07.16 | 19 | 13,7 | 12,4 | 15,1 | 6.8 | 9.9 | 6.5 | 1,8 | - | 1,3 | 60,8 | 13.5 |
| УIСД | 05.07.2016 - 16.07.2016 | 17,9 | 13,8 | 14,7 | 15 | 5,1 | 13,7 | 7,2 | - | - | - | 57,8 | 12,6 |
| VIP-Kонсалтинг | 30.06.16 — 07.07.16 | 17,1 | 10,9 | 13,8 | 8,0 | 4,6 | 10,0 | 6,1 | 1,8 | - | 0,5 | 78,9 | 27,2 |
| SOFIA | 29.06.16 — 08.07.16 | 15,4 | 14,6 | 10,1 | 18,7 | 6,2 | 10,2 | 5,7 | 3 | 0,7 | 0,6 | - | 14,8 |
| Rating | 28.05.16 — 14.06.16 | 17.7 | 13,5 | 11,1 | 17,2 | 3,6 | 9,9 | 4,9 | 3,7 | - | - | 55 | 18,4 |
| Ukrainian Nastup | 06.06.16 — 12.06.16 | 21.2 | 7.8 | 13.5 | 11 | 8.6 | 7.9 | 7.4 | 4.2 | - | - | 63 | 18.4 |
| KIIS | 20.05.16 — 02.06.16 | 22.0 | 13.0 | 11.1 | 11.9 | 2.8 | 11.2 | 4.3 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 53.8 | 15.8 |
| Polling Firm/Link | Last Date of Polling |
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Decided | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average last 5 polls | 05.2016 | 1.4 | 11.3 | 13.0 | 12.7 | 9.5 | 16.4 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 7.3 | — | — |
| KIIS | 20.05.16 — 02.06.16 | 1.1 | 13.0 | 11.1 | 11.9 | 11.2 | 22.0 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 5.1 | - | 1.8 | 2.8 | 53.8 | 15.2 |
| DI | 11.05.16 — 16.05.16 | 1.6 | 11.9 | 12.7 | 10.9 | 10.1 | 14.4 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 7.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 55.7 | 17.4 |
| Razumkov Centre | 22.04.16 — 26.04.16 | 0.9 | 14.3 | 13.6 | 14.7 | 10.3 | 10.1 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 6.6 | 60.8 | 17.2 |
| Ukrainian Nastup | 20.04.16 — 26.04.16 | 2.5 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 7.5 | 20.5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | - | 12.5 | 59.1 | 15 |
| Rating | 14.01.16 — 22.01.16 | 1.2 | 10.4 | 11.6 | 12.8 | 8.2 | 15.1 | 4.6 | - | 3.5 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 11.6 | 57 | 17.5 |
| KIIS | 23.02.16 — 08.03.16 | 2.5 | 10.9 | 11.4 | 12.1 | 11.6 | 20.5 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 56.0 | 15.4 |
| Razumkov Centre | 19.02.16 — 24.02.16 | 2.0 | 11.1 | 11.2 | 11.3 | 6.6 | 9.1 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 5.8 | 72.5 | 5.2 |
| Gorshenin Institute | 08.02.16 — 17.02.16 | 2.9 | 9.7 | 15.6 | 12.8 | 12.5 | 14.0 | 8.6 | — | 6.1 | — | 6.3 | 12.2 | ? | 11.5 |
| KIIS | 05.02.16 — 16.02.16 | 2.5 | 16.6 | 11.8 | 14.2 | 10.3 | 15.1 | 6.2 | 1.0 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 41.3 | 12.5 |
| Rating | 14.01.16 — 22.01.16 | 0.9 | 14.3 | 11.7 | 13.5 | 5.5 | 11.6 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 11.6 | 61.1 | 14.8 |
| 2015 | |||||||||||||||
| Rating | 01.12.15 — 10.12.15 | 1.0 | 16.5 | 12.2 | 12.2 | 7.9 | 12.3 | 7.8 | 2.1 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 5.1 | 56.8 | 13.8 | |
| Rating | 03.10.15 — 12.10.15 | 1.1 | 19.8 | 10.2 | 14.0 | 6.1 | 15.1 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 64.6 | 11.6 | |
| KIIS | 17.09.15 — 27.09.15 | 1.3 | 19.9 | 12.8 | 11.0 | 7.4 | 18.8 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.4 | 2.2 | 58.4 | 10.9 | |
| KIIS | 27.06.15 — 09.07.15 | 2.8 | 23.5 | 12.2 | 7.2 | 10.2 | 22.7 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 5.5 | 5.4 | — | 56.4 | 2.6 | |
| Rating | 03.06.15 —13.06.15 | 3.4 | 20.5 | 13.1 | 12.7 | 7.9 | 12.4 | 4.8 | 2.6 | 7.1 | 6.6 | — | 56.2 | 5.8 | |
| Rating | 19.05.15 — 29.05.15 | 4.1 | 21.2 | 15.8 | 9.7 | 12.0 | 15.3 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 5.4 | 4.1 | — | 39.2 | 4.5 | |
| Razumkov Centre | 06.03.15 — 12.03.15 | 7.9 | 24.4 | 16.1 | 11.8 | 7.8 | 7.6 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 4.7 | — | — | 57.9 | 7.9 | |
| KIIS | 26.02.15 — 11.03.15 | 6.6 | 26.7 | 17.1 | 10.2 | 8.4 | 11.5 | 4.1 | — | 4.8 | 5.2 | — | 61.8 | 2.8 | |
| 2014 | |||||||||||||||
| Rating | 06.11.14 — 13.11.14 | 24.5 | 23.5 | 12.7 | 8.5 | 7.0 | 6.1 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.1 | — | 67 | 3.4 | |
| Ukrainian parliamentary election, 2014 | 26.10.2014 | 22.14 | 21.81 | 10.97 | 9.43 | 7.44 | 5.68 | 4.71 | 3.11 | 3.10 | 1.80 | — | — | — | — |
References
- ↑ Ukrainian politics at the end of 2015: an unstable equilibrium, Centre for Eastern Studies (30 December 2015)
Odesa governor's deputy denies Saakashvili team's plans to create political party, Interfax-Ukraine (14 March 2016)
(Ukrainian) Saakashvili denied the creation of a political party, Hromadske.tv (14 March 2016) - ↑ We will create new political force, our goal is early parliamentary elections, change of Ukrainian political elites, Interfax-Ukraine (11 November 2016)
- ↑ Saakashvili Announces New Political Force, Calls For Early Ukraine Elections, Radio Free Europe (11 November 2016)
- ↑ Kasko, Sakvarelidze, Chimak
- ↑ http://nv.ua/publications/najem-zalishchuk-leshchenko-nefedov-gatsko-i-drugie-mogut-sozdat-novuju-partiju-uzhe-29-ijunja-156382.html