Opinion polling for the next Greek legislative election

In the run up to the next Greek legislative election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Greece. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 20 September 2015, to the present day. The next election is scheduled to be held no later than 20 October 2019.

Vote estimates

Graphical summary

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures.

Polls that show their results without disregarding those respondents who are undecided or said they will abstain from voting (either physically or by voting blank) have been re-calculated by disregarding undecided and/or abstaining voters from the totals offered through a simple rule of three, in order to obtain results comparable to other polls and the official election results.

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample
size		 P ANEL LAE EE PE Lead
PAMAK 28.11.16–30.11.16 1,082 19.0 38.0 9.5 6.5 7.0 2.0 2.5 3.5 1.0 — 3.5 19.0
PAMAK 03.11.16–04.11.16 1,080 18.5 37.0 8.5 5.5 7.0 2.5 2.5 3.5 1.0 — 3.5 18.5
Bridging Europe 01.11.16–03.11.16 1,518 29.7 24.1 10.1 6.9 10.5 1.3 4.6 2.7 2.8 — 3.2 5.6
Alco 31.10.16–03.11.16 1,000 22.3 31.4 9.3 7.1 7.1 2.5 3.2 3.0 3.2 — 4.2 9.1
Public Issue 20.10.16–27.10.16 1,004 18.0 42.0 8.0 8.0 7.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 — — 2.5 24.0
Alco 11.10.16–14.10.16 1,000 21.9 31.2 10.0 6.7 7.4 2.3 3.2 3.3 3.6 — 3.6 9.3
PAMAK 30.09.16–01.10.16 1,059 20.0 36.0 9.5 5.5 7.0 2.0 2.5 2.5 2.0 — 2.5 16.0
MRB 24.09.16 ? 23.7 34.0 8.8 7.9 6.5 2.9 3.4 3.5 1.8 — 2.9 10.3
Opinion Poll 24.09.16 ? 23.1 38.8 8.1 6.3 6.9 1.9 2.5 2.5 1.9 — 3.8 15.7
Bridging Europe 20.09.16–22.09.16 1,168 30.3 24.6 9.6 6.6 10.0 1.5 4.3 3.0 2.8 — 3.4 5.7
Pulse RC 20.09.16–21.09.16 1,261 26.0 35.5 8.0 6.5 6.5 2.5 2.5 3.5 2.0 — 2.5 9.5
Marc 19.09.16–21.09.16 1,005 21.4 32.2 9.1 6.8 8.4 2.7 3.6 3.6 1.7 — 2.9 10.8
Palmos Analysis 13.09.16–15.09.16 1,004 27.0 32.0 7.5 6.5 7.5 2.5 2.0 2.5 1.5 — 3.5 5.0
Alco 12.09.16–15.09.16 1,000 22.9 31.5 9.6 5.5 7.4 2.2 3.1 4.1 3.0 — 3.8 8.6
Kapa Research 10.09.16 ? 25.6 31.1 8.8 6.7 7.6 2.5 3.0 3.8 1.4 — 2.4 5.5
PAMAK 01.09.16–02.09.16 1,034 21.5 34.0 9.0 7.0 7.0 2.0 2.5 4.5 2.0 — 2.0 12.5
Alco 03.07.16 ? 21.4 30.1 10.3 5.7 7.6 3.6 3.1 4.7 3.7 — 3.6 8.7
PAMAK 27.06.16–29.06.16 1,044 21.0 35.0 10.0 5.5 7.5 2.0 2.5 3.5 2.0 — 2.0 14.0
Pulse RC 24.06.16–27.06.16 1,115 26.5 34.5 7.5 6.5 6.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 2.5 — 2.5 8.0
MRB 16.06.16–24.06.16 2,000 25.6 33.1 8.4 7.4 7.7 2.8 3.3 4.6 1.3 — 3.2 7.5
Bridging Europe 13.06.16–15.06.16 1,072 30.1 22.2 10.5 6.5 9.8 1.6 4.2 3.8 3.0 — 3.7 7.9
Kapa Research 07.06.16–09.06.16 1,003 25.6 30.8 8.7 7.4 7.5 3.0 3.4 4.6 1.8 1.6 3.2 5.2
Alco 30.05.16–02.06.16 1,000 22.3 31.6 10.1 5.3 8.0 2.7 3.1 3.7 3.9 — 3.0 9.3
PAMAK 24.05.16–26.05.16 1,070 22.0 32.5 9.0 5.5 7.0 2.5 2.5 5.0 1.5 1.5 3.0 10.5
AUEB-STAT 10.05.16–16.05.16 1,705 22.0 27.5 13.5 5.6 6.6 3.3 3.0 4.3 3.6 3.3 4.4 5.5
Kapa Research 12.04.16–14.04.16 1,005 27.0 31.4 8.0 8.7 7.2 2.7 3.7 3.8 — 2.3 — 4.4
Pulse RC 11.04.16–13.04.16 1,208 28.0 35.0 7.5 6.5 6.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 — — 7.0
Bridging Europe 30.03.16–31.03.16 1,059 33.6 23.4 10.2 6.1 10.1 1.9 4.5 2.7 3.8 — — 10.2
PAMAK 29.03.16–30.03.16 1,026 21.5 32.5 8.5 5.5 8.5 3.5 3.5 5.5 2.0 — — 11.0
Alco 15.03.16–17.03.16 1,000 25.7 31.4 9.1 5.3 7.4 2.7 3.3 3.9 3.3 — — 5.7
Rass 01.03.16–04.03.16 28.6 32.0 7.8 6.5 7.6 2.8 3.4 5.7 2.4 — — 3.4
Metron Analysis 26.02.16 27.7 33.9 7.3 6.0 6.7 3.1 3.3 5.3 3.0 — — 6.2
PAMAK 22.02.16–24.02.16 1,205 23.0 31.5 8.0 6.0 7.0 2.5 3.5 6.0 2.5 — — 8.5
MRB 04.02.16–11.02.16 2,000 27.4 31.8 7.7 6.7 7.8 3.1 3.5 4.8 2.8 — — 4.4
Kapa Research 18.01.16–21.01.16 1,003 29.0 30.9 8.6 6.1 7.9 3.1 4.3 3.6 2.5 — — 1.9
Bridging Europe 18.01.16–20.01.16 1,135 34.0 22.9 9.6 5.8 9.8 2.6 4.3 3.3 4.0 — — 11.1
Pulse RC 18.01.16–19.01.16 1,207 29.5 34.5 6.5 5.5 6.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.5 — — 5.0
Metron Analysis 15.01.16 29.1 34.5 6.7 6.0 6.7 3.2 3.1 3.9 3.4 — — 5.4
Alco 12.01.16–15.01.16 1,000 27.9 33.0 8.1 4.8 8.4 2.5 2.9 4.0 2.0 — — 5.1
MRB 21.12.15–22.12.15 1,003 28.6 27.4 8.4 7.1 8.2 3.9 4.2 4.5 3.9 — — 1.2
ProRata 15.12.15–16.12.15 1,000 29.0 27.5 9.5 6.0 8.5 3.5 3.0 4.5 3.5 — — 1.5
Bridging Europe 01.12.15–04.12.15 1,115 35.8 18.3 9.2 6.0 8.6 2.9 5.0 3.9 3.9 — — 17.5
Kapa Research 25.11.15–26.11.15 1,006 30.8 24.9 9.3 7.5 7.4 3.7 3.5 3.8 3.2 — — 5.9
Legislative Election 20.09.15 N/A 35.5 28.1 7.0 6.3 5.6 4.1 3.7 3.4 2.9 — — 7.4

Parliamentary seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 151 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Hellenic Parliament.

151 seats needed for a majority
Polling Firm/Link Date of
Polling		 Potami ANEL LAEN EE PE
Alco 31.10.16–03.11.16 61 136 26 20 20 0 9 8 9 0 12
Public Issue 20.10.16–27.10.16 54 176 24 24 22 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alco 11.10.16–14.10.16 60 136 28 18 20 0 9 9 10 0 10
PAMAK oktomber 1,2016 64 165 31 18 22 0 0 0 0 0 0
MRB September 24, 2016 67 147 25 22 19 0 10 10 0 0 0
Opinion Poll September 24, 2016 66 162 23 18 20 0 0 0 0 0 11
Bridging Europe September 22, 2016 133 67 26 18 27 0 12 8 0 0 9
Marc September 22, 2016 63 145 27 20 25 0 10 10 0 0 0
Alco September 17, 2016 68 143 28 16 22 0 0 12 0 0 11
Palmos Analysis September 16, 2016 81 145 22 19 22 0 0 0 0 0 11
Kapa Research September 10, 2016 74 140 25 19 22 0 9 11 0 0 0
Alco July 3, 2016 57 130 27 15 20 10 8 13 10 0 10
PAMAK June 29, 2016 61 152 29 16 22 0 0 11 0 0 0
Pulse RC June 27, 2016 79 151 22 19 19 0 0 10 0 0 0
MRB June 24, 2016 69 139 22 20 21 0 9 12 0 0 8
Bridging Europe June 17, 2016 133 61 29 18 27 0 12 10 0 0 10
Kapa Research June 12, 2016 68 132 23 20 20 8 9 12 0 0 8
Alco June 2, 2016 63 140 29 15 23 0 9 10 11 0 0
PAMAK May 26, 2016 66 146 26 17 21 0 0 15 0 0 9
AUEB-STAT May 16, 2016 57 121 35 14 17 8 8 11 9 9 11
Kapa Research April 14, 2016 75 138 22 24 20 0 10 11 0 0
Pulse RC April 13, 2016 79 148 21 17 17 0 0 9 9
Bridging Europe March 31, 2016 141 64 28 17 28 0 12 0 10
PAMAK March 30, 2016 62 142 24 15 24 9 9 15 0
Alco March 17, 2016 72 138 25 15 21 0 9 11 9
Rass March 4, 2016 78 137 21 18 21 0 9 16 0
Metron Analysis February 26, 2016 72 138 19 16 17 8 8 14 8
PAMAK February 24, 2016 68 143 23 17 22 0 10 17 0
MRB February 11, 2016 74 136 21 18 21 8 9 13 0
Kapa Research January 21, 2016 78 133 23 16 21 8 11 10 0
Bridging Europe January 20, 2016 141 61 26 15 26 0 11 9 11
Pulse RC January 19, 2016 82 146 19 16 19 0 0 9 9
Metron Analysis January 16, 2016 75 139 17 16 17 9 8 10 9
Alco January 15, 2016 81 146 23 14 24 0 0 12 0
MRB December 22, 2015 124 71 22 18 22 10 11 12 10
ProRata December 16, 2015 129 75 25 16 23 10 0 12 10
Bridging Europe December 4, 2015 149 50 25 16 24 0 14 11 11
Kapa Research November 26, 2015 132 66 25 20 20 10 9 10 8
Legislative Election September 20, 2015 145 75 18 17 15 11 10 9 0

Voting preferences

Polls shown below show the recording of raw responses for each party as a percentage of total responses before disregarding those who opted to abstain and prior to the adjusting for the likely votes of those who were undecided to obtain an estimate of vote share. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Polling Firm/Link Date of
Polling		 Potami ANEL LAEN EE PE Other Question
Alco September 17, 2016 15.5 21.3 6.5 3.7 5.0 1.5 2.1 2.8 2.0 2.6 4.7 14.2
PAMAK September 5, 2016 17.5 27.5 7.5 5.5 5.5 1.5 2.0 3.5 1.5 9.5 18.5
Alco July 3, 2016 15.0 21.1 7.2 4.0 5.3 2.5 2.2 3.3 2.6 2.5 4.4 29.9
PAMAK June 29, 2016 17.0 28.5 8.0 4.5 6.0 1.5 2.0 3.0 1.5 1.5 7.5 19.0
Pulse RC June 27, 2016 21.0 27.0 6.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 2.5 2.0 2.0 4.0 21.5
MRB June 24, 2016 20.2 26.1 6.6 5.8 6.1 2.2 2.6 3.6 1.0 2.5 2.2 21.1
Bridging Europe June 15, 2016 22.1 16.3 7.7 4.8 7.2 1.2 3.1 2.8 2.2 2.7 3.3 26.6
Kapa Research June 9, 2016 17.3 20.8 5.9 5.0 5.1 2.0 2.3 3.1 1.2 1.1 2.2 1.6 32.4
Alco June 2, 2016 15.0 21.3 6.8 3.6 5.4 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.6 2.0 4.2 32.7
PAMAK May 26, 2016 17.5 25.5 7.0 4.5 5.5 2.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 2.5 6.5 21.0
AUEB-STAT May 16, 2016 18.8 23.5 11.5 4.8 5.6 2.8 2.6 3.7 3.1 2.8 3.8 2.3 14.6
Kapa Research April 14, 2016 18.4 21.4 5.4 6.0 4.9 1.8 2.5 2.6 1.6 3.5 31.9
Pulse RC April 13, 2016 22.0 27.5 6.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 2.5 2.5 4.0 21.5
Bridging Europe March 31, 2016 24.6 17.1 7.5 4.5 7.4 1.4 3.3 2.0 2.8 2.6 26.8
PAMAK March 30, 2016 16.5 24.5 6.5 4.0 6.5 2.5 2.5 4.0 1.5 7.5 24.0
Alco March 17, 2016 17.3 21.1 6.1 3.6 5.0 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.2 5.4 32.7
Rass March 4, 2016 23.4 26.2 6.4 5.3 6.2 2.3 2.8 4.7 2.0 2.5 18.4
Metron Analysis February 26, 2016 19.4 23.7 5.1 4.2 4.7 2.2 2.3 3.7 2.1 2.6 30.0
PAMAK February 24, 2016 17.5 24.0 6.0 4.5 5.5 2.0 2.5 4.5 2.0 7.5 24.0
MRB February 11, 2016 23.2 26.9 6.5 5.7 6.6 2.6 3.0 4.1 2.4 3.7 15.3
Kapa Research January 21, 2016 19.5 20.8 5.8 4.1 5.3 2.1 2.9 2.4 1.7 2.7 32.7
Bridging Europe January 20, 2015 24.7 16.6 7.0 4.2 7.1 1.9 3.1 2.4 2.9 2.7 27.4
Pulse RC January 19, 2016 24.0 28.0 5.5 4.5 5.5 2.0 2.0 2.5 3.0 4.0 19.0
Metron Analysis January 16, 2016 19.9 23.6 4.6 4.1 4.6 2.2 2.1 2.7 2.3 2.4 31.5
Alco January 15, 2016 18.0 21.3 5.2 3.1 5.4 1.6 1.9 2.6 1.3 4.1 35.5
MRB December 22, 2015 17.0 16.3 5.0 4.2 4.9 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.3 2.3 40.5
ProRata December 16, 2015 20.0 19.0 6.5 4.0 6.0 2.5 2.0 3.0 2.5 3.5 31.0
Bridging Europe December 4, 2015 25.8 13.2 6.6 4.3 6.2 2.1 3.6 2.8 2.8 4.7 27.9
Kapa Research November 26, 2015 18.4 14.9 5.6 4.5 4.4 2.2 2.1 2.3 1.9 3.5 40.2

Likelihood of victory

The following table shows opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

Polling Firm/Link Last Date
of Polling		 Question Margin
of Error		 Sample
Size
PAMAK September 5, 2016 18.5 52.5 23.0 ±3.1 pp 1,034
PAMAK June 29, 2016 16.0 52.5 28.0 ±3 pp 1,044
Pulse RC June 27, 2016 29 52 11 ±2.9 pp 1,115
MRB June 24, 2016 24.8 51.4 3.7 ±2.2 pp 2,000
Kapa Research June 9, 2016 20.6 61.4 18.0 ±3.1 pp 1,003
PAMAK May 26, 2016 19.5 54.0 19.0 ±3 pp 1,070
Kapa Research April 14, 2016 27.6 57.2 15.2 ±3.1 pp 1,005
Pulse RC April 13, 2016 32 50 11 ±2.8 pp 1,208
PAMAK March 30, 2016 20.5 50.5 22.0 ±3.1 pp 1,026
Metron Analysis February 26, 2016 25 59 13
MRB February 11, 2016 28.1 41.1 4.2 ±2.2 pp 2,000
Kapa Research January 21, 2016 30.0 48.9 21.1 ±3.1 pp 1,003
Pulse RC January 19, 2016 40 44 11 ±2.8 pp 1,207
Metron Analysis January 16, 2016 41 42
MRB December 22, 2015 38.8 30.5 14.2 ±3.2 pp 1,003
Kapa Research November 26, 2015 54.6 12.2 33.2 ±3.1 pp 1,006

Leadership polls

Approval ratings

Poll results showing approval ratings for the different Greek political leaders are shown in the following tables.

Color key:

  Alexis Tsipras   Kyriakos Mitsotakis   Ioannis Plakiotakis   Vangelis Meimarakis   Nikolaos Michaloliakos   Fofi Gennimata   Dimitris Koutsoumpas   Stavros Theodorakis   Panos Kammenos   Vassilis Leventis

Polling Firm/Link Last Date
of Polling		 PASOK-DIMAR Potami ANEL
PAMAK September 5, 2016 19.0 22.0 4.5 12.5 16.0 14.5 7.5 13.0
Kapa Research June 9, 2016 27.5 34.4 10.3 23.4 23.0 21.7 19.4 27.0
Public Issue March 16, 2016 29 44 11 36 35 32 23 39
PAMAK February 24, 2016 23.0 25.5 5.0 14.0 17.5 13.0 12.5 27.0
Public Issue February 17, 2016 27 46 9 32 38 34 21 47
MRB February 11, 2016 22.4 27.6 7.0 11.5 10.4 10.1 10.1 20.8
Public Issue January 26, 2016 30 55 12 33 35 32 21 38
PAMAK January 20, 2016 23.0 35.0 7.5 19.0 24.0 17.0 13.5 28.0
Pulse RC January 19, 2016 35 52 10 33 33 30 25 36
Public Issue December 16, 2015 40 29 12 42 38 38 28 45
Public Issue November 11, 2015 40 48 10 38 35 32 31 45
Public Issue October 21, 2015 51 56 9 44 42 38 33 49
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